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inflation) diminishes gold’s appeal: from a yield perspective, investors are better off holding treasury bonds rather than a non-yielding asset like gold. Read this | Are sovereign gold bonds the new ‘gold standard’ in investing? In recent months, however, US bond yields have declined, driven by expectations of easing monetary policy, and they’ve fallen more than inflation. From January to August, the two-year treasury yield dropped by 33 basis points (bps), and the 10-year yield fell 24 bps, while inflation decreased by 20 bps between January and July.

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Foreign investors infused nearly ₹11,000 crore in domestic equities in the first week of the month owing to resilience of the Indian market and expectations of rate cut in the US. Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have been consistently buying equities since June. Before that, they had pulled out funds to the tune of ₹34,252 crore in April-May.

Fed Chief Jerome Powell unambiguously stated at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that “the time has come for policy to adjust.” Clearly, barring unforeseen circumstances, the rate-cutting cycle in the US will start in September. Powell’s comment, “the upside risk to inflation has diminished and the downside risk to unemployment has increased,” is, without any doubt, a more dovish message than the markets had expected.

«There is nothing which signals a slowdown. All leading indicators just say that it is just back to getting normal. The other point Federal Reserve has to keep in mind is, what is the runway they have? Look, they started from zero percent and which was anyway a very abnormal emergency measure,» says Anurag Singh, Managing Partner, Ansid Capital. At Jackson Hole, we heard the Fed chair, Jerome Powell, saying that the time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of travel is clear, he said, and the timing and pace of rate cuts is going to depend on incoming data. The evolving outlook, the balance of risks and he also said that it seems unlikely that the labour market is going to be a source of elevated inflationary pressures any time soon. We do not seek, he says, or welcome further cooling in the labour market conditions. But looking at the labour data now with some pockets in the market supporting this 25 basis point rate cut in September, November, and December, what is your sense of the size and pace of rate cuts that the Fed will go with? Anurag Singh: First of all, there is no panic in the economy anyways. So, there is no point, markets can behave and do what they do. But the economy overall is just getting back to normal. I mean, you see all the unemployment rate, quits rate, hiring rate, ratio of unemployed to jobs those kind of numbers are just about getting back to where they were in 2019 or 2020, just before the pandemic started.

Stocks, bonds and major currencies held to tight ranges Friday as traders prepared for US jobs data that will help determine the size of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this month. Shares in Japan fluctuated, as the yen stabilized after a rally this week, while those in Australia were little changed. Futures for US equities slipped after the S&P 500 ended Thursday lower. Pre-opening trading of Hong Kong securities was shut Friday due to Super Typhoon Yagi.

Former Trump administration economist Stephen Moore analyzes what it means for the macroeconomy if job growth was significantly overestimated.

Gold prices held steady on Wednesday as investors braced for a monthly U.S. payrolls report that could influence the size of a likely interest rate cut this month.

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to deliver a third consecutive interest rate cut on Wednesday as inflationary forces continue to cool on both sides of the Canada-United States border.

When Jerome Powell delivered a high-profile speech last month, the Federal Reserve chair came the closest he ever had to declaring that the inflation surge that gripped the nation for three painful years was now essentially defeated

Ruholamin Haqshanas is a contributing crypto writer for CryptoNews. He is a crypto and finance journalist with over four years of experience. Ruholamin has been featured in several high-profile crypto...

interest rate cut in the cards at their Sept. 17-18 meeting. By the end of last month, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was time to start lowering borrowing costs, nearly all of his colleagues thought so too. In large part, that was because a wide range of data moved in one direction. That pushed Fed policymakers to reassess the risks to their outlook, including whether their chief concern should be persistent inflation, labor market weakness, a deterioration in business or household financial conditions, a potential policy mistake, or some combination of those factors.

without deep recessions. The Federal Reserve will probably soon join central banks in Europe in cutting interest rates, bond yields have fallen sharply since the summer and stockmarkets have shrugged off a growth scare that struck at the beginning of August. America’s economy was in fact bigger in the second quarter of 2024 than had been forecast before the covid-19 pandemic struck.

When actions need approval or authorization, someone is usually waiting for a “green light." “Fed Gives Green Light to Lowering Interest Rates," blared headlines after a recent speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Other papers reported that season four of the Apple TV series “Ted Lasso“ is “Close to a Green Light." The latest Covid-19 vaccines have received a “green light" from the Food and Drug Administration. “Green light" is also part of the colorful metaphorical language exchanged between writers and editors.

Federal Reserve will cut interest rates modestly in September. U.S. consumer spending increased solidly in July, suggesting the economy remained strong while prices rose moderately.

Similarly, core PCE – which excludes food and energy prices – was 2.6%, remaining unchanged for the third month in a row. The latest figures released today (30 August) signalled more accommodating conditions for a potential Fed rate cut in September, which markets are widely anticipating. US inflation dips below 3% for the first time since 2021 The central bank's chair Jerome Powell said «the time has come for policy to adjust» last week at the Jackson Hole summit, confirming markets' current expectations. Greg Wilensky, head of US fixed income at Janus Henderson, said PCE infla...

consumer spending increased solidly in July, suggesting the economy remained on firmer ground early in the third quarter and arguing against a half-percentage-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.5% last month after advancing by an unrevised 0.3% in June, the Commerce Department reported on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast spending would accelerate by 0.5%. This implies that consumer spending maintained most of the momentum from the second quarter, when it helped to boost gross domestic product growth to a 3.0% annualized rate. The economy grew at a 1.4% pace in the January-March quarter.

Treasuries are poised for their longest monthly winning streak in three years as traders look past US data on personal income and expenditure due Friday and prepare for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates.

US Treasury yields climbed after resilient economic reports prompted traders to slightly trim their expectations for the scope of Federal Reserve easing this year.

dollar steadied on Thursday as it nursed some of its steep losses from previous sessions, with traders looking ahead to a key U.S. inflation reading at the end of the week that could offer further clues on the outlook for rates there. Friday's release of the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index — the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation — headlines a week that's otherwise been lacking on major market moving data, leaving currencies mostly rangebound.

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