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recession this year — and that was an optimistic take compared to the 100% probability of a recession forecast two months earlier. Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, drawing upon the work of his highly able staff, expressed fear in March that bringing down the rate of inflation would cost millions of American jobs. And yet none of this has happened.

snapped its longest weekly winning streak in six years, over profit booking at record high levels earlier in the week. On the weekly front, the BSE benchmark declined 376.79 points or 0.52 per cent and the Nifty dipped 107.25 points or 0.49 per cent - dragged by the fall in recent outperformers like financials and auto stocks.

By Ann Saphir

By Lucia Mutikani

In recent days, the bullish momentum on Wall Street has sustained, marked by the Nasdaq hitting new all-time highs, and a similar breakthrough for the S&P 500 is imminent.

Citi economists took note of several Federal Reserve speakers commenting that the market has overreacted to recent Fed communications, which delivered a massive rally in stocks and bonds.

The Bank of Canada is looking for clear evidence of “further and sustained downward momentum in core inflation” before it considers cutting interest rates. That was the message governor Tiff Macklem addressed directly to markets in a press availability after his annual year-end speech on Dec. 15.

By Stella Qiu

Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem said he expects to start cutting interest rates next year but needs to see several months of sustained downward momentum in core inflation first.

(Reuters) — U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Tuesday, building on strong gains in recent weeks as investors continued to bet on a policy pivot by the Federal Reserve next year.

Investing.com — The S&P 500 closed higher Monday, shrugging off attempts from Federal Reserve officials to cool expectations for sooner rather than later rate cuts. 

Investing.com — Markets are entering the closing weeks of 2023 after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the historic tightening of monetary policy is likely over and discussion of rate cuts is coming «into view». Investors will get a final update on U.S. inflation for this year, while the Bank of Japan may be inching toward a long-awaited policy pivot. Here’s what you need to know to start your week.

interest rates unchanged this week, but signaled different paths for policy going forward. Officials in the US are prepared to cut interest rates in 2024, while those in Europe said they’d step up their exit from pandemic-era stimulus. Meantime, policymakers in the UK were more hawkish, with several still supporting a rate hike at Thursday’s meeting. Here are some of the charts that appeared on Bloomberg this week on the latest developments in the global economy: US The Federal Reserve pivoted toward reversing the steepest interest-rate hikes in a generation after containing an inflation surge so far without a recession or a significant cost to employment.

gains for the seventh consecutive week, marking their longest winning run since January 2018. Specifically, the BSE benchmark jumped 1,658.15 points or 2.37 per cent on the week, while the Nifty climbed 487.25 points or 2.32 per cent. Global cues triggered foreign capital inflows into Indian markets after the US Federal Reserve signalled the end of its tightening cycle.

U.S. stocks are poised to end 2023 on a high note amid investor optimism that the historic tightening of monetary policy is likely over, and interest rates will fall next year following a dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve.

It was the most painful inflation Americans had experienced since 1981, when “The Dukes of Hazzard” and “The Jeffersons” were topping the TV charts

BSE Sensex reported it longest weekly winning streak in six years, as it rallied to cross its lifetime high mark of 71,000 on the back of strong global cues. On the stock-specific front, Mangalam Cement, TVS Holdings, INOX Green Energy, Hudco, HBL Power, Mastek, KPI Green Energy, RBL Bank, Equitas Small Finance Bank, Coforge, Aether Industries, and others are among the smallcaps that logged a double-digit rise in their share prices last week.

Cutting the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate doesn’t seem to be top of mind for governor Tiff Macklem, who said Dec. 15 that it’s still too early to consider undoing the most aggressive series of rate hikes in decades. Macklem made the remarks while delivering his end-of-year speech before the Canadian Club Toronto on Friday, two days after United States Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell poured fuel on a stock market rally by suggesting that rates were at or close to their peak. The Financial Post’s Denise Paglinawan breaks down what you need to know about Macklem’s speech.

₹5,953 per bbl, having swung between ₹5,839 and ₹6,004 per bbl during the session, against a previous close of ₹6,017 per barrel. -Traders took note of comments from New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams about hopes for interest rate cuts in the coming year. "We aren't really talking about rate cuts right now," Williams said in an interview with CNBC.

Williams pushed back against the market's rate cut expectations, though the index remained on track for its worst weekly performance in a month. The dollar tumbled broadly after updated interest rate projections of Fed officials released on Wednesday showed an expectation for 75 basis points in cuts in 2024. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was also interpreted as striking a more dovish tone at the conclusion of the U.S. central bank's two day meeting, when he said that the tightening of monetary policy is likely over, with a discussion of cuts coming «into view.» But Williams said on Friday that «we aren't really talking about rate cuts right now» at the Fed and it's «premature» to speculate about them. «It strikes some of the similar tones that we heard from Powell earlier this week but it kind of reinforces the fact that the Fed is still very much a data dependent bank and not really endorsing what the market's pricing in to a degree,» said Bipan Rai, North American head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto. Rai also noted that a large part of the move in the dollar this week has been due to rebalancing positions that were heavily tilted towards the greenback and focused in specific currency pairs, such as against the Japanese yen. «This is a story about the inordinate amount of leverage and skewed positioning in the market that needed to be rebalanced more than any sort of dovish interpretation of what Powell said earlier this week,» he said. Traders are pricing in aggressive expectations for rate cuts, with the first reduction seen likely in March and 145 basis points in cuts seen by December. The dollar index was last up 0.39% on the day at 102.35.

US Federal Reserve signalled the end of its tightening cycle and raised expectations of a rate cut in March 2024. The 30-share BSE Sensex soared nearly 1,000 points to settle at 71,483.75, while the Nifty 50 closed 273 points higher at 21,456.65.