David Rosenberg News
22.05 / 20:49
07.05 / 20:19
markets
COST
UPS
FIVE
economy
wellness
country
David Rosenberg: Tanking economy, productivity mean Bank of Canada should cut rates with or without the Fed
We find it rather incredible that the Bank of Canada is so nonchalant when it comes to the state of the Canadian economy. The degree of excess capacity is expanding by the month, inflation has swung to disinflation and the economy (in real output per-capita terms) is contracting at a two per cent annual rate. Yet the folks in Ottawa fiddle as the macro landscape burns.
03.05 / 17:37
UPS
Target
FIVE
economy
wellness
trends
David Rosenberg: Why the Bank Of Canada needs to start cutting rates … Now
The most important inflation metric, the CPIX, which excludes the eight most volatile segments of the index, is running at 2.1 per cent on a year-over-year basis. That is pretty well on target, barely higher than the pre-COVID-19 trend, and less than half the pace of a year ago.
18.04 / 17:13
markets
UPS
Target
economy
wellness
trends
Headlines
David Rosenberg: Time for Macklem to turn before it's too late
In contrast to the United States Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada is running out of excuses to keep from acting as the proverbial deer in the headlights. The economy here is far weaker, fiscal policy is far less stimulative even with the spending largess in the federal budget, and there’s much more spare capacity being built up, particularly in the labour market.
28.03 / 12:37
COST
FIVE
economy
EON
Trade
country
NOT
David Rosenberg: Canada was once productive and competitive, but not today
I have to say that watching the recent fiasco in the House of Commons with respect to the subtle (maybe not too subtle) shift in Mideast policy makes it embarrassing enough to be a Canadian, but the government’s mishandling of the economy and fiscal policy is beyond the pale — declining real per-capita incomes in Canada year in and year out.
21.03 / 15:47
markets
COST
UPS
trends
2020
David Rosenberg: Bank of Canada is going to have to cut rates sooner and harder than the Fed
There were several items that came out of the fourth-quarter national balance sheet data in Canada that leave us with a view that any positive “wealth effect” on spending is subsiding, that households are hunkering down and sharply reducing their appetite for debt, and that the Bank of Canada is going to end up having to cut rates sooner and harder than the United States Federal Reserve, with negative repercussions for the listless loonie.
01.03 / 18:51
UPS
FIVE
economy
love
2020
reports
NOT
David Rosenberg: Canada loves people — businesses, not so much
First, the good news: Canada’s economy closed 2024 in slightly better shape than was expected, with real gross domestic product growth inching up to a one per cent annual rate (consensus was 0.8 per cent) in the fourth quarter, while the third quarter was revised to a “less negative” print of minus 0.5 per cent from minus 1.1 per cent in the initial report.
07.01 / 01:16
markets
Manufacturing
economy
pandemic
show
reports
Initial US employment reports overstated by 439,000 jobs in 2023
Forbes Media Chairman Steve Forbes and former CKE Restaurants CEO Andy Puzder discuss the December jobs report and point out discrepancies in its reporting.
29.12 / 11:23
FIVE
economy
country
Big interest rate declines, strong bank stocks and more market predictions for the year ahead
Making public market predictions is a bit of a mug’s game. Any market/economic prediction is, at best, a guess (note that we did not even say educated guess here), yet investors’ inboxes are still being filled with predictions for the next year.
29.12 / 11:23
Provident
FIVE
Gap
Fighting
economy
Death
track
David Rosenberg: Why the so-called soft landing is just the calm before the storm
As we exit 2023, all I can think of is how it was a year replete with dichotomies and divergences. An unprecedented gap emerged between real gross domestic product growth, which signalled a soft landing had been successfully engineered by the United States Federal Reserve, and real gross domestic income growth, which provided support to the minority view that a recession had arrived.
04.12 / 18:25
Provident
JPMorgan
Apple
pandemic
show
reports
Live news: Canadian banks have never had job cut 'carnage' like this, David Rosenberg says
Stocks slipped on Wall Street Monday ahead of some key reports this week on the United States job market that might provide more insight into the Federal Reserve’s thinking about interest rates.
30.11 / 13:42
Provident
FIVE
economy
Nov
President
show
strain
Rosenberg sees Bank of Canada slashing interest rate to avert household debt crisis
Historic levels of household debt are straining the finances of Canadians to the point that it will be impossible for the Bank of Canada to keep interest rates at current levels for long, according to prominent economist David Rosenberg.
23.11 / 16:14
Provident
FIVE
Nov
cover
consequences
information
testing
Liberals' mortgage charter draws praise and warnings as renewal cliff looms
A new charter codifying the relief that lenders must offer financially strapped mortgage borrowers is drawing mixed reviews from market watchers, with some warning that elements of the policy will prolong overheated housing market conditions and add upward pressure on interest rates.
15.11 / 12:15
Waves
Target
economy
pandemic
President
reports
Rosenberg sees 'terrifying' mortgage math bringing Canada rates down quickly
Canada’s central bank will have to cut interest rates faster and further than markets expect to get ahead of a wave of mortgage maturities that threaten a fifth of the country’s discretionary income, according to economist David Rosenberg.
14.11 / 21:17
Aware
economy
stage
reports
shock
David Rosenberg: Canada's menacing mortgage math means crisis looming
The macroeconomic math relating to Canada’s looming wall of mortgage renewals should be terrifying for the Bank of Canada. A large increase in average monthly mortgage payments will arise from the nearly $1 trillion in renewals due by 2026, triggering, in turn, a large demand shock and putting stress on the housing market in particular and the economy in general. The central bank will need to ease aggressively before the shock strikes to avoid turning a slowdown into a crisis, positioning Government of Canada bonds for outperformance in 2024.
02.10 / 12:15
President
Listen to the message markets are sending, David Rosenberg says
David Rosenberg, president and chief economist and strategist of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., talks with Financial Post’s Larysa Harapyn about how investors should listen to the message markets are sending. “Let the markets do the thinking for you,” he says.
29.09 / 18:11
President
Canada to get recession 'earlier and harder' than U.S., David Rosenberg says
David Rosenberg, president and chief economist and strategist of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., talks with Financial Post’s Larysa Harapyn about how Canada will get a recession ‘earlier and harder’ than the U.S. He discusses the ‘September effect,’ what’s going to give hope to the market and more.
28.09 / 18:45
UPS
Target
Manufacturing
economy
love
2020
David Rosenberg: Investors and economists are playing with fire
No matter how you slice and dice it, one thing is clear: the reflexive stock market rally that began last October (and ended this past August) never had much in the way of fundamental underpinnings. Momentum, yes. Technical picture, yes. Sentiment and emotion, yes. Fundamentals and valuations, sorry, no. And this is why we never bit despite all the external pressure to do so. Everyone loves a bullish narrative.
20.09 / 21:23
UPS
Lowe's
performer
stage
cover
David Rosenberg: We're calling bull on the 'new bull market'
The rally in equities since the October lows has been hailed by many commentators as the start of a new bull market, but even a 20-plus per cent move can be a normal feature of a protracted bear market. This is nothing we have not seen before, having experienced 20-plus per cent rebounds in the 2000/02 and 2007/09 bear markets. Every bear market in the past, as an aside, had a reflexive rally off the oversold lows that followed the first leg down. So please, let’s not hyperventilate.
14.09 / 11:46
21.08 / 17:01
COST
Lowe's
Southern
country
David Rosenberg: The Great China slowdown has wider implications than meets the eye
China, a.k.a. “the growth engine of the world,” has posted a series of disappointing economic data points over the last few months.
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