Vietnam Financial News

Indian seafood exports will face significant pressure following the imposition of the US reciprocal tariffs, according to a study by the industry body FICCI. India's exports of fish, meat, and processed seafood are valued at US USD 2.58 billion with six product categories--Frozen Shrimp, Frozen Fish, Fish Meal and Fish Feed, Frozen Squid, Surimi & Analogue Products, and Frozen Cuttlefish--accounting for 94 per cent of total export value. US is India's largest seafood export market, holding a 34.5 per cent share of total export value. Frozen shrimp dominates, contributing 91.9 per cent of the export value (USD 2.34 billion) and 90.4 per cent of the volume (2.97 lakh tonnes). «Indian seafood exports will face significant pressure following the imposition of the US reciprocal tariffs,» the study said. India competes with countries like Canada, Ecuador, Indonesia and Vietnam in these categories. Other Latin American countries also compete in the market.

tariff rate of 10% on countries across the globe, big and small. From the imposed reciprocal tariff rates, Asia and Europe on the higher end of the tariff scale. In Asia, the highest rate of reciprocal tariff is on Cambodia and Vietnam. India faces reciprocal tariffs of 27% while China faces reciprocal tariffs of 34%. Indonesia and Taiwan are facing higher tariffs than India at 32%. Mexico and Canada are exempted from new tariffs, while the previously announced 25% tariff on autos is to take effect from April 3, 2025. Reciprocal tariffs to the equivalent of ~50% of combined estimated rate of tariff and non-tariff barriers faced by US exports in the respective countries have been announced. A retaliation might put the global economy in a trade war. The efforts to reach a bilateral agreement between India-USA provides hope and scope to limit the impact of these reciprocal tariffs levied on India.

In 2024, at the India-ASEAN Summit, Modi gifted a vintage brass Buddha statue to Laos President Thongloun Sisoulith, symbolizing shared heritage and India’s commitment to cultural diplomacy. In the same year, India sent several sacred relics of Lord Buddha and his disciples to Thailand. The relics of Lord Buddha and his disciples, Arahant Sariputta and Arahant Maha Moggallana, were taken to Bangkok by an Indian delegation and displayed for 25 days in four cities of Thailand . In 2023, PM Modi and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visited the Bal Bodhi Tree at Buddha Jayanti Park in Delhi, reinforcing the deep-rooted Buddhism ties between India and Japan. India also hosted the first-ever Global Buddhist Summit, bringing together scholars and practitioners to discuss contemporary challenges through the lens of Buddhist philosophy, where Modi stressed that Buddha’s teachings provide solutions to global issues. In 2022, PM Modi visited Lumbini, Nepal, on Buddha Purnima and laid the foundation stone for the India International Centre for Buddhist Culture and Heritage, a landmark project promoting Buddhist culture and strengthening Indo-Nepal spiritual ties.

These negotiations come just days after the US imposed a series of new tariffs affecting several nations, including a levy of 26% on India. According to Reuters, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio discussed the levies with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. A State Department readout of their meeting confirmed that the tariff discussions are part of a broader diplomatic effort. The talks are centered on a relatively small subset of the countries impacted by the new tariffs, with both parties looking to strike deals. This is seen as the first phase of a larger set of negotiations, as countries begin to assess their next steps and responses to the tariff changes. On Friday, Vietnam, which is facing a 46% tariff on its exports to the US, announced that it intends to reduce its tariffs on US goods to zero, pending an agreement with the US.

Vietnam, Thailand and Cambodia have for years worked to turn themselves into alternatives to China for factories making the bags, electronics, shoes and auto parts that eventually end up in the United States. Now, they will face some of the most punishing tariffs. All three countries have said in recent days that they’re open to negotiations over the “reciprocal tariffs” Trump announced this week, while Singapore, a finance and trade hub, has said that it doesn’t plan to strike back. The offers come as nations worldwide weigh how to respond to Trump’s decision to slap tariffs from 10% to as high as 50% on every country. Since his announcement, trillions of dollars in market value have been wiped out globally and triggered widespread recession alarms. Southeast Asia’s offers to negotiate contrast with China’s immediate retaliation, while the European Union is preparing its own countermeasures if talks fail. Trump and Vietnam's leader To Lam have agreed to discuss a deal to remove tariffs, both leaders said after a phone call that Trump said was «very productive», as Hanoi has escalated its campaign to dodge duties of 46%.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. US President Donald Trump announced sweeping reciprocal tariffs on nearly all US trade partners on Wednesday, including a 26% tariff on India. Meanwhile, the government offered another lifeline to debt-ridden Vodafone Idea by converting some of the company's dues into equity.

Indian equities were swamped by a wave of selling that swept riskier assets globally on Friday, tracking Wall Street's overnight slump-the worst since 2020-in response to US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariff regime that has led to fears about a global downturn. NSE Nifty fell 1.5%, or 345.65 points, to finish at 22,904.45. BSE Sensex dropped 1.2%, or 930.67 points, to 75,364.69. The slump wiped out ₹10 lakh crore in market value Friday.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. New Delhi: In the immediate aftermath of the new US tariffs, India’s response has been twofold: to seek new opportunities in the changing world order, and re-evaluate its manufacturing strategy.

JPMorgan has raised its estimate of a US recession occurring before the end of the year. The bank now sees a 60% probability, up from its previous 40% estimate. The increase follows President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs. These tariffs impact global markets and business conditions.

Communist Party of China (CPC) has said in a message to the CPI(M), extending wishes for the party congress underway in Madurai. According to a document shared by the Communist Party of India (Marxist), 34 Left parties from across the world have sent it messages wishing success to its 24th party congress. Besides the CPC, they include Workers' Party of Korea, Communist Party of Vietnam, Communist Party of Cuba, Communist Party of Australia, Workers' Party of Belgium, Palestinian People's Party, besides communist parties from the US, France and Germany among others. Communist Party of Bangladesh, Workers Party of Bangladesh, Communist Party of Nepal (United Socialist), Awami Workers' Party, Pakistan, Communist Party of Pakistan and Communist Party of Burma also sent messages wishing success to the CPI(M) congress. The CPC in its message said in the present international landscape, an improving China-India relationship serves the common interest of both countries and the region. «The international landscape and world order are now in a new round of transformation. An improving China-India relationship serves the common interests of both countries and the region,» CPC said.

artificial intelligence infrastructure in the country, likely undermining a key goal of the administration, analysts said on Thursday. Trump and technology executives have touted lofty plans by Oracle, SoftBank and others to invest heavily in artificial intelligence since his return to the White House earlier this year. On Wednesday, Trump slapped steep duties on leading technology equipment suppliers including 34% on China, 32% on Taiwan and 25% on South Korea while imposing a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the U.S.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. US President Donald Trump is showing America’s trading partners no mercy. If they export a lot to the US, it will tariff them back—by half.

Mahesh Patil, CIO, ABSL AMC, says from an India standpoint, the impact of the reciprocal tariffs is there for a few sectors including large exporters like IT and pharma, because of the slowdown in the US. But the overall impact compared with the US trade, the impact on GDP, will not be more than 20 basis points. The reaction has also not been very big and it should probably settle down. Patil says he does not see a major downgrade to our earnings for next year, except for one or two sectors. Any dip because of this correction could be a good buying opportunity. It is easy to turn bearish in this market, but should one really turn bearish? If yes, why? If no, why not? Mahesh Patil: Clearly, the Trump tariffs that have come out are slightly worse than expectations. But if you look at it from an India standpoint, I would not be too bearish. While the tariffs have been imposed across the various countries, relatively if you look at India, tariffs are much lower than some of these other partners on the global front – be it China, Vietnam, or Bangladesh. In that sense, we will not be competitively worse off over there.

Fitch Ratings. The ratings agency said the new tariffs, announced on what is labelled as “Liberation Day” by the US administration, go far beyond what it had previously expected and are already altering the global economic outlook. The tariff regime now imposes a minimum rate of 10% on all US trade partners, with significantly higher levies on 57 selected countries. As a result, the effective tariff rate (ETR) for EU imports into the US has jumped to about 20%, while the rate on Chinese goods has surged to 64%. These figures compare with Fitch’s earlier March assumptions of 15% for the EU and 35% for China. Other Asian economies have also been hit hard. Vietnam now faces a 46% tariff, Thailand 36%, Taiwan 32%, India 26%, South Korea 25%, Malaysia 24% and Japan 24%. Sector-specific exclusions—such as semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, copper and lumber—may be negotiated separately. Also Read: Recession, not Liberation Day! India, US and world GDP may slump for Trump tariff 'insanity' «We estimate the changes will raise the overall US ETR to about 25%, which would be significantly higher than the 18% we had assumed for 2025 in the March GEO and the highest rate for more than 115 years,» Fitch said.

In fact, he stated that if India negotiates wisely during bilateral trade talks with the US, it could even gain some ground. Gulati said, «If competing countries face lower tariffs than India, then India may lose in that product exports. Overall, it seems India may not lose much in agriculture. But if we negotiate smartly in BTA, we may gain.» Gulati also explained that the impact of these tariffs will not be the same for all agricultural products. The final outcome depends on various factors, including how the US sets tariffs on India and other competing countries. Under the new policy, Indian agricultural exports to the US are currently subject to a 27 per cent tariff (as per the trade document). However, what really matters is how these tariffs compare with those applied to countries that compete with India in the same product segments.

So, shares of textile makers stood out Thursday, surging as much as 18%, as the 26% tariffs were on home furnishings and readymade garments from India paled in comparison with 54% levies on China, 46% for Vietnam, 37% for Bangladesh, and 30% for Pakistan.

Automobile and ancillaries

The damage was heaviest in companies whose supply chains are most dependent on overseas manufacturing. Apple Inc., which makes the majority of its US-sold devices in China, fell as much as 9.5%. Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Nike Inc., among companies with manufacturing ties to Vietnam, were both down more than 12%. Target Corp. and Dollar Tree Inc., retailers whose stores are filled with products sourced outside of the US, were trading lower by more than 10%.

import duties by the US on the global trade and not take any action in a hurry as America may itself face problems from its domestic industry, government sources said. US President Donald Trump on April 2 announced reciprocal tariffs ranging 11-49 per cent on about 60 countries, including India and China. It will come into effect from April 9. The official said there are both challenges and opportunities for India as many of its competitor countries in exports, such as China Vietnam, Bangladesh, Cambodia and Thailand, face higher duties. «As a country we need to watch the situation and need not be in a hurry. This is something new that has happened. It is unprecedented. The US industry too would be angry from this move and challenges will also be there. We need to wait, observe, and and see because we should not rush to conclusion that this is it for the future. We need to see what is there in store on their side,» one of the sources said. The duties announced by the US are aimed at cutting down its trade deficit and boost manufacturing. On the 27 per cent duty on India, they added that only 6-7 sectors like shrimp and carpet could face challenges from the steep taxes, but majority of other sectors like pharma and electronics would get opportunities to increase shipments as competitor nations would face higher duties than India.

global trade war. The 10-year Treasury yield fell by 11 points to 4.085 per cent. This is the lowest level in six months while the two-year yield dropped by 9.5 basis points to 3.809 per cent. The broader bond market, as per reports, echoed this trend, with the 30-year Treasury yield slipped to 4.44 per cent. The 1-year Treasury yield declined to 3.957 per cent. The fall in yields is an indicator of the shift in investor sentiment towards safer assets amid looming economic uncertainty.

Following Trump’s announcement, Nvidia stock fell over 5%, while its competitor Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped about 4%. Broadcom (AVGO) saw a steep 7% decline, and Micron Technology (MU), a key memory chip supplier for Nvidia’s GPUs, also lost 7% in value. TSMC, the Taiwanese giant responsible for manufacturing advanced semiconductors for companies like Nvidia and Apple (AAPL), also sank approximately 5%. This reaction in the stock market reflects growing fear