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US economy. The outlook is bumpier than anticipated, with lower growth rates, greater inflationary pressures, and more complicated international economic and financial interactions.

reciprocal tariffs, which should be negated through higher export goals across both manufacturing and services fronts, SBI Research said Monday. This, it said, will be driven by India’s diversified exports kitty, value addition, alternate areas and new routes that transcend from Europe to the US via the Middle-East, redrawing new supply chain algorithms. “We estimated the decline in exports in the range of 3-3.5% which again should be negated through higher export goals across both manufacturing and services fronts,” SBI Research said, adding that India stands to gain in an increasingly uncertain world of tariffs. India has a $13 million trade deficit for aluminium and $406 million for steel with the US and can potentially take advantage of this. India is among the top 10 sources for aluminium for the US but its share has declined to 2.8% in 2024 from 3% in 2018. India is negotiating free trade agreement (FTA) with the UK, Canada, and the EU, targeting sectors like services, digital trade, and sustainable development. “The shift towards regional supply chains and the impact of geopolitical changes, such as the US tariff war are influencing India’s FTA strategies to ensure alignment with global trade dynamics,” it said.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. UBS said it will start the most complex part of its Credit Suisse integration in the coming months, as the banking giant deals with uncertainty amid global trade tensions and Swiss proposals to tighten capital rules. The Swiss banking group will begin the migration of former Credit Suisse client accounts in Switzerland to the UBS platform in the second quarter, it said in its annual report published Monday.

shares were largely unchanged on Monday as investors started the new trading week with slight caution around the escalating trade war, while focus remained on the week's upcoming parliamentary vote on Germany's debt reform deal. The pan-European STOXX 600 was up 0.1% as of 0812 GMT. The index climbed 1.1% on Friday after Germany's political parties agreed on a historic deal to ramp up state borrowing to fund defence and infrastructure investment.

JM Financial has reiterated its 'Buy' rating on Varun Beverages with a target price of Rs 675, implying 38% upside from the previous day's closing price. The brokerage believes the recent 30% correction in the stock is overdone, citing strong growth drivers in both domestic and international markets. The Indian beverage market, with an estimated size of 2.4 billion cases, is largely a duopoly, with Coca-Cola and PepsiCo holding a combined market share of around 80-90%. However, competitive intensity has increased following the relaunch of Campa by Reliance Consumer Products in March 2023.

But while Beijing braces for impact, India’s strategy is more of wait and watch. Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently showered warm words for Trump. Speaking on a podcast with Lex Fridman, Modi described Trump as «far more prepared» for his second term, crediting him with a clear roadmap and strategic steps to achieve his goals. However, Modi's praise comes amid looming reciprocal tariff threats and the fact that Trump has time and again called out India to be among the nations that charge the US the highest tariffs. While Trump has praised Modi often, he has called India a tariff abuser. In the February meeting, Trump and Modi discussed trade issues and the nations are working on a trade deal. Trump, nonetheless, wants actions from India that should be beneficial for his land, including India buying more oil from the US. Trump's close ally Elon Musk meanwhile also seems to be getting some advantage in India these days. While Tesla is about to enter India, telecom operators Reliance Jio and Bharti Airtel also signed deals with Starlink.

Ola Electric have suffered a significant loss of value. Meanwhile, IT stocks continue to be laggards due to the uncertainty triggered by factors in the US. Mobikwik Shares of One MobiKwik Systems, the parent company of digital payments provider MobiKwik, sank as much as 15% in early trade on Monday, hitting a fresh 52-week low of Rs 231.05. This is due to the expiration of a three-month lock-in period on nearly 46 lakh shares, or 6% of the company's outstanding stock, making them eligible for trade.

Bitcoin recently hit a low of $76,600, raising concerns across the crypto community about its future trajectory. This decline briefly pushed the asset below its 200-day moving average, marking a significant shift from its record-breaking rally to an all-time high of $109,200. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has corrected by more than 25%, bringing its total market capitalization down to $1.53 trillion. While short-term factors such as stronger-than-expected CPI data, increased job availability in the US, and other macroeconomic developments have led to temporary relief rallies, Bitcoin has yet to regain its bullish momentum.

recession are mounting as economic indicators—both traditional and unconventional—point to growing financial strain. Consumers are cutting back on discretionary spending, companies are tightening their forecasts, and market volatility is rising, all while U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies continue to rattle investor confidence. Economists define a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity” lasting more than a few months, often marked by a drop in GDP, rising unemployment, and weaker industrial production. While some analysts maintain that the economy remains stable for now, Goldman Sachs recently raised the probability of a recession this year to 20%.

The IT sector witnessed a sharp decline, shedding over 2,000 points in just one week, as fears of a U.S. recession rattled investor confidence and stocks may remain volatile until macroeconomic conditions stabilize, Om Ghawalkar, Market Analyst at Share.Marketsaid, recommending risk-averse investors to consider reducing exposure. This analyst spells-out strategy in previous week’s major movers viz. IndusInd Bank, SPARC, Data Patterns and 3 more stocks. Excerpts: Nifty closed with weekly declines of 0.7%, trading in a close range last week but this week has started on a positive note. What is the chart suggesting about the course of its move and levels that will be important to watch out for? Despite U.S. tariff hikes and a downturn in global markets, Nifty demonstrated remarkable stability, declining only 0.7% this week. The index traded within a tight range of 22,316 to 22,676, maintaining levels close to its pre-election positioning.

aluminum tariffs as Washington edges towards an all-out trade war with major partners. Since January, Trump has imposed levies on multiple trading partners and imports — including steel and aluminum — roiling financial markets and fanning fears that his plans could tip the world's biggest economy into a recession. The president told reporters aboard Air Force One he did not plan to make exceptions to the tariffs, saying: «No, I have no intention of that.» He instead doubled down on a pledge to impose reciprocal levies as soon as April 2 to remedy trade practices Washington deems unfair, raising the potential for more products and trading partners to be specifically targeted. «April 2 is a liberating day for our country,» he said.

Dodla Dairy Ltd.(up 4.68%), Gillette India Ltd.(up 4.35%), Vadilal Industries Ltd.(up 3.68%), LT Foods Ltd.(up 3.55%), Varun Beverages Ltd.(up 3.14%), Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd.(up 1.94%), Hatsun Agro Products Ltd.(up 1.88%), Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.(up 1.73%), Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare Ltd.(up 1.33%) and Nakoda Group Of Industries Ltd.(up 1.14%) were among the top gainers.

Benchmark NSE Nifty index rose 88.3 points to 22485.5 amid buying in frontline bluechip stocks.

Stocks that rallied over 10% included, KPT Industries(13.00%), Lypsa Gems(12.85%), Anuroop Packaging(12.85%), Paramount Cosm(11.95%), Narendra Prop(11.86%), Reliable Data Services(11.71%), Ceeta Ind(11.00%), Mercantile Ventures(10.66%), Sika Interplant(10.62%) and Crane Infrastructure(10.62%).

Bitcoin (BTC) and major cryptocurrencies showed mixed trends on Monday, 17th March, as the market remained cautious ahead of key economic events. While Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano declined up to 4.5%, BNB, Toncoin, Hedera, Litecoin, Polkadot, and Shiba Inu posted gains of up to 5%. As of 10:53 am IST, Bitcoin was down 0.7% at $83,698, while Ethereum slipped nearly 1% to $1,907. The global cryptocurrency market cap dropped 0.78% to approximately $2.74 trillion over the past 24 hours.

Zydus Lifesciences shares surged nearly 2% to Rs 899.40 on the BSE on Monday after the company received final approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) to manufacture Eluxadoline Tablets (75 mg and 100 mg). Eluxadoline, a mu-opioid receptor agonist, is used to treat irritable bowel syndrome with diarrhea (IBS-D) in adults. The tablets will be manufactured at Zydus Lifesciences' SEZ facility in Ahmedabad, the company said in an exchange filing.

Niraj Cement(up 20.00%), Frontline Corp(up 19.01%) and Yogi Infra Proj(up 17.24%) were among the stocks that surged over 15%.

Bharat Forge Ltd.(up 1.98 per cent), Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.(up 1.5 per cent), TVS Motor Company Ltd.(up 1.11 per cent), Exide Industries Ltd.(up 0.97 per cent) and Tata Motors Ltd.(up 0.79 per cent) were among the top gainers.