Bitcoin [BTC] investors have more reasons than one to be amused by the celebrations of 4 July. On-chain data indicates that the worst might be over for Bitcoin as per acclaimed researchers. BTC has also seen a bullish uptick since 3 July, marking a good start to the month.
Bitcoin supporters have good reasons to be optimistic after positive signs on the network. A recent Santiment tweet suggested a positive uptick in longs on exchanges in the early hours of 4 July. The tweet further claims that trader optimism is usually high on holidays. It also raises caution as whales may attempt to “punish the overly eager”.
Source: Santiment
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez further posted his analysis suggesting the worst is probably over for Bitcoin. He used the Santiment MVRV (365d) metric which timed the previous market bottoms in two bearish cycles.
Source: Ali Martinez/ Santiment
During the January 2015 bear market, the MVRV metric hit -56.85% to mark the market bottom. And again in December 2018, it struck -55.62% flashing a bottom for the bear market. As of now, with the current bearish cycle in full swing, this value dropped to -50.09% in mid-June and currently sits at – 48.23%.
Can this ignite the bulls as we wrap the underwhelming Q2?
Bitcoin is consolidating in the $18,000-$22,000 range as both bulls and bears are not sure of the trends of market volatility. Currently trading at $20,241, BTC was up by 5.7% in the last 24 hours. In its latest recovery attempt, Bitcoin is further aided by a near 50% hike in network volume. This is a healthy sign for Bitcoin as it battles on under difficult market conditions.
The MVRV ratio has also witnessed significant changes since mid-June. The value saw a gradual upturn during a late recovery in
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