Asian shares slip into BOJ meeting, US inflation test
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) meets Tuesday amid much chatter that it is considering how and when to move away from negative interest rates. None of the analysts polled by Reuters expected a definitive move at this meeting, but policy makers might start laying the groundwork for an eventual shift.
April was favoured by 17 of 28 economists as the kick-off for negative rates to be scrapped, making the BOJ one of the few central banks in the world actually tightening.
«Since the last meeting in October, 10-year JGB yields have fallen and the yen has appreciated, giving the BOJ little incentive to revise policy at this stage,» said Barclays economist Christian Keller.
«We think the BOJ will wait to confirm the result of the 'shunto' wage negotiations next spring, before moving in April.»
Japan's Nikkei lost 1.2%, weighed in part by a firm yen.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.5%.
South Korea's main index was flat, showing no obvious reaction to reports North Korea had fired a ballistic missile off its east coast.
Chinese blue chips edged up 0.2%, but that follows five straight weeks of falls.
S&P 500 futures inched up 0.1%, while Nasdaq futures were near flat. EUROSTOXX 50 futures slipped 0.4% and FTSE futures 0.2%.
Over in the United States, a reading on core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index is forecast by analysts to rise 0.2% in November with the annual inflation rate slowing to its lowest since mid-2021 at 3.4%.
Analysts suspect the balance of risk is on the downside and a rise of 0.1% for the month would see the six-month annualised pace of inflation slow to just 2.1% and almost at the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.
Markets reckon the slowdown in inflation means the
