Rahul Shah, V-P, Equity Advisory, MOFSL, says “it looks like markets will continue to do well. It does not look like a sell-off is imminent. Maybe, the market will shed 4-5% and then stabilise there and again, build it back to the game. We should continue to hold on with this opportunity and in a sell-off, one should participate.”
From a financial market standpoint, is it time to move on?
We see a lot of concerns going on globally. From India’s perspective, there are two-three things. The markets are still trading at reasonable valuations. Midcaps and smallcaps valuations are rich and largecaps have underperformed. From the overall market perspective, there’s no big negative. Also, it looks like it will be a good earnings season. My sense is largecap stocks will outperform midcaps and smallcaps might take a breather, but whenever we see the largecaps performing, midcaps and small caps also rally. But after the midcap and smallcap rally, It is time for the largecaps. Usually in an election year, just before the elections, the last 20-25 years’ data suggests that markets have rallied between 10% and 32%,.
I think valuation wise, markets are still reasonable, there are no euphoric conditions. We have a stable interest rates environment, inflation is under control and numbers have been quite good overall. It looks like markets will continue to do well. It does not look like a sell-off is imminent. Maybe, the market will shed 4-5% and then stabilise there and again, build it back to the game. We should continue to hold on with
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