Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have accumulated long positions in global equities, with models indicating potential sales in various scenarios, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.
A CTA is an entity or individual offering tailored guidance on the purchase and sale of futures contracts, options on futures.
Goldman’s analysis shows that CTAs have a long position of $144 billion in global equities and $53 billion in US stocks.
In an upward market movement, CTAs are poised to sell $2.9 billion of stocks, while a downward move could trigger sales of $38 billion in stocks and $1.6 billion in S&P 500 futures. In a flat market, CTAs would need to sell $7.5 billion of global stocks.
Looking ahead, the most adverse scenario over the next month would involve a declining market, prompting CTAs to sell $243 billion of stocks and $58 billion of S&P 500 futures.
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