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The report highlighted that while rural growth remains fragile, it is showing signs of improvement compared to urban areas.
It said «India is in the midst of a cyclical downturn with base case GDP growth in FY26 at 6.1 per cent. Rural growth remains tenuous albeit better that urban».
Despite some positive developments in private capital expenditure (capex), the report noted that the recovery is unlikely to have a significant impact on overall growth.
The report also stated that the government is expected to maintain fiscal discipline, with a fiscal deficit target of 4.5 per cent of GDP by FY26. This implies a moderate capex growth of around 9-10 per cent. Any fiscal stimulus measures from the government are unlikely unless there is evidence of a prolonged economic slowdown.
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