Don’t frame ties with India, other emerging powers based on Russia, China competition: US think tank warns American admin
Carnegie Endowment said the US has limited ability to influence the trajectory of emerging powers such as India.
In a report released Tuesday, it said besides India, other emerging powers—Argentina, Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Thailand and Türkiye—have taken stances that contrast or directly clash with US positions on China and Russia over the past few years.
It will be a mistake for the US to frame its relations with these emerging powers primarily as part of a competition for influence with China and Russia, however tempting it may be to do so, the Carnegie Endowment study said.
The structure of international politics is changing in ways that are not fully appreciated in Washington, it said.
The US has paid a great deal of attention to the rise of China in the last decade but much less to emerging powers whose rise will also shape the operating environment for American statecraft, the report claimed.
No single emerging power will have an impact tantamount to China’s, but they will have a significant impact collectively due to their geopolitical weight and diplomatic aspirations, according to the report.
The report even said that almost none of the emerging powers would line up with the US in a confrontation with China. “Instead, they are likely to pursue highly self-interested foreign policies. Washington should expect that they will increasingly challenge some of its policies, sustain relationships with its
