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Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: ETH price risks 20% drop if key support level breaks

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Ether's (ETH) rally versus Bitcoin (BTC) is not only showing signs of exhaustion, but is also in danger of breaking below a key technical support level.

The ETH/BTC pair declined nearly 9.25% on Jan. 24 from its local top of 0.0779 BTC established on Jan. 11. Since the start of the year, Bitcoin is slightly outpacing Ether in USD terms, rising 38% versus 35%, respectively.Interestingly, Ether's pullback versus Bitcoin has landed its price at the bottom of its EMA ribbon range, as shown below.The EMA ribbon indicator shows numerous exponential moving averages of increasing timeframe on the same price chart.

Dropping below the ribbon range increases an asset's likelihood of seeing an extended down-move. So in other words, breaking lower would increase its possibility of declining by more than 20% from its current price levels.Conversely, rising above the ribbon range raises the asset's chances of a broader rally.

This week, ETH/BTC dropped to the 55-week exponential moving average (the red wave) — a bottom wave — of its EMA Ribbon indicator, as shown below.

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