For the rest of the decade, US is likely to underperform rest of the world: Jim O'Neill
Jim O'Neill, Former Economist, Goldman Sachs, says for the rest of this decade, it is quite likely that US equity markets are going to underperform much of the rest of the world. A more positive way to put it is, the rest of the world which was very cheap, particularly Europe and to some degree China, is probably going to outperform the US and of course that has already been the case in the short two-and-a-half months of 2025 so far. While the period between now and April 2nd will probably see some near-term recovery of the dollar, O’Neill does not think that the combination of what the US is trying to do is at all good for the sustainability of the dollar and he thinks this time next year, the dollar will be a bit weaker against major currencies around the world.
We are talking at a time when nobody knows what is coming. All we know is that American markets have reversed and there are fears of a genuine slowdown in the United States. Investors are moving out of the long dollar trade. What is the big headline of March 2025 for financial markets?
Jim O'Neill: As I have discussed with you in December, you have to be very careful of a very strong consensus when some of the underlying factors are not so clear-cut and I was quite sceptical on the immediate euphoria of Trump being elected as this was going to further accentuate so-called American exceptionalism and the reality that we have seen over the first 60 to 70 days the US is not exceptional.