
Global tariff war may weigh on valuations: UTI AMC's Subramaniam
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Earnings downgrades of India Inc. continue amid slowing economic growth domestically and global trade uncertainty, but UTI AMC's chief investment officer sees an improvement for Nifty 50 earnings in the next fiscal year from the mid-single digit consensus forecast for FY25.
Vetri Subramaniam cautions, though, that his expectations are tempered by economic growth running at a nominal 10% and limited scope for margin expansion. Hybrid funds like Balanced Advantage Fund and Multi Asset Allocation Fund should be the investor's top choice for navigating turbulent market conditions. Global trade uncertainty fallout can't be ascertained on market earnings currently but could weigh on valuations, he thinks.
Edited excerpts: Our equity funds have navigated the drawdown and increased volatility in the equity markets quite well relative to their respective benchmark indices. Our investment process emphasizes operating cash flows and return on capital ratios. From a valuation perspective, we have been concerned that the markets were overestimating sustainable growth for many businesses and many stocks were backed only by narratives without fundamental support.
This caution has worked to our advantage during this selloff. Read more: Investors are in a bad mood. This time, they might be right. The economy has slowed in recent quarters, which is now visible in revenue and earnings trends.
We expect an improvement in growth in FY2026 from the mid-single digit forecast for consensus Nifty 50 earnings in FY2025. However, our expectations are quite measured—nominal GDP growth is running at 10% per annum, and the scope for margin expansion appears limited. The government's improvement in capex and
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