Since May, gold and silver have been in a downtrend, mainly due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance which has sent long-term borrowing costs flying higher, boosting the US dollar.
Recently, selling pressure has increased, causing bullion to test a crucial support level at around $1810 per ounce.
However, the ongoing downtrend has experienced a partial interruption due to the recent escalation of tensions between Israel and Hamas, leading to an increased demand for safe-haven assets. Should the conflict intensify and trigger further shockwaves throughout the Middle East, it is likely that precious metals may garner even greater attention from potential buyers.
Still, a full-blown bull market for precious metals might take a bit longer, especially with U.S. interest rates still on the high side.
Gold's recent upward momentum, starting from the demand zone at $1810 per ounce, has slowed down a bit, but there's still potential for further growth. Right now, buyers have their sights set on the resistance at around $1910 per ounce
In the short and medium term, a renewed attack on $2,000 per ounce could be problematic, as the Fed is not considering starting a cycle of interest rate cuts any time soon.
The likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is currently projected for June next year.
Silver prices are experiencing a situation similar to gold, with a demand-driven upward movement that has recently lost some momentum.
The formation of a triangle pattern suggests a potential breakout to the upside, making an upward scenario highly probable.
The base case scenario is an attack on the clearly outlined resistance area located in the area of $22.50 per ounce.
A potential downside scenario for silver is a decline to at
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