IEA says oil demand is slowing sharply
investmentnews.comGlobal oil demand growth is slowing down sharply as economic activity weakens in key countries, the International Energy Agency said as it slashed estimates for this quarter.
The IEA sliced nearly 400,000 barrels a day from assessments of consumption growth for the final three months of 2023, and continues to expect that growth rates will decelerate dramatically next year. Meanwhile, soaring production from the U.S., Brazil and Guyana is offsetting production cuts by Saudi Arabia and its OPEC+ allies, it said.
“Evidence of a slowdown in oil demand is mounting,” the Paris-based adviser said in its monthly report on Thursday. “The increasingly apparent loss of oil demand growth momentum reflects the deterioration in the macroeconomic climate.”
Crude prices slumped to a five-month low below $73 a barrel in London earlier this week on signs of growing oversupply. Futures have tumbled around 23% since late September as China’s economic outlook darkens while output swells from a number of exporters.
Fresh production cutbacks announced by OPEC+ on Nov. 30 look set to eliminate a glut previously anticipated in the first quarter, but they come at a cost for the cartel: the 23-nation coalition will see its share of the global market whittled to the lowest level since its formation seven years ago, the IEA said.
They’re also helping to finance a “record-smashing” supply wave from the U.S., which is “squeezing Saudi Arabia and other core Middle Eastern producers out of prime export markets,” the report said. American oil production exceeded 20 million barrels a day in September, defying predictions that cost inflation would check its growth.
“The continued rise in output and slowing demand growth will complicate efforts by key
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