India is anticipated to experience a notable upswing in liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports in 2024, with projections suggesting a substantial 7 per cent-8 per cent year-on-year increase.
This surge is expected to be driven by heightened demand across key sectors, including power, industrial, and transportation, coupled with infrastructure development in anticipation of national elections, as per S&P Global.
Ayush Agarwal, an LNG analyst at S&P Global Commodity Insights, highlighted that while the fertilizer sector remains the largest consumer of LNG, the power and industrial sectors are poised to contribute significantly to the import upswing if spot prices align closely with the levels witnessed in 2023.
Agarwal said, «India's LNG imports will continue to increase, with an expected 8 per cent year-on-year growth in 2024. While the fertilizer sector will remain the largest consumer of LNG, the power and industrial sectors could contribute to an increase in imports if spot prices average close to 2023 levels».
India's current gas-based power capacity stands at approximately 25 GW, translating to a demand for approximately 30 million-35 million mt/year of LNG.
Industry sources based in Singapore suggest that a few gas-based power units, historically reliant on domestic gas due to high LNG prices, are likely to transition back to LNG consumption in 2024 owing to the anticipated weakness in LNG prices.
An industry source based in Singapore said, «India currently has about 25 GW of gas-based power capacity installed.
This translates to about 30 million-35 million mt/year of LNG demand, and LNG A few gas-based power units ran on domestic gas because of high LNG prices in recent years. That should change in 2024 because
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