India to prioritise energy infrastructure in capex shift from FY25-30: Report
BNP Paribas report.
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India's economy is expected to remain resilient despite global trade uncertainties and shifting monetary policies. Larger economies like China, India, and the US tend to be less reliant on external trade, making them relatively insulated from the economic risks associated with tariff wars.
India's inward-focused economy is likely to experience less volatility in trade compared to smaller, trade-dependent nations.
The US 10-year bond yield has increased from 3.7 per cent in September 2024 to 4.5 per cent currently, while India's 10-year yield has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 6.7 per cent and 6.9 per cent. This has significantly narrowed the yield gap, contributing to a 3 per cent depreciation of the Indian Rupee (INR) since September 2024.
BNP Paribas economists anticipate that US inflation will continue to face upward pressures, preventing any rate cuts in 2025.
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