Jumbo 50 basis points Fed rate cut should not raise alarm, analyst says
The U.S. Federal Reserve can afford to make a jumbo 50 basis points rate cut next week without spooking markets, an analyst has suggested, as opinion on the central bank's forthcoming meeting remains hotly divided.
Michael Yoshikami, CEO of Destination Wealth Management, said Monday that a deeper cut would demonstrate that the central bank is ready to act without signalling deeper concerns of a broader downturn.
«I would not be surprised if they jumped all the way to 50 basis points,» Yoshikami told CNBC's «Squawk Box Europe.»
«That would be considered, on one hand, a very positive sign the Fed is doing what is needed to support jobs growth,» he continued. «I think the Fed at this point is ready to get out ahead of this.»
His comment follow similar remarks Friday from Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz, who said the Fed should deliver a half-point interest rate cut at its next meeting, arguing that it went «too far, too fast» with its previous policy tightening.
Policymakers are widely expected to lower rates when they meet on Sept. 17-18, but the extent of the move remains unclear. A disappointing jobs print on Friday stoked fears of a slowing labor market and briefly tipped market expectations toward a larger cut, before shifting back.
Traders are now pricing in around a 75% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in September, while 25% are pricing in a 50 bps rate reduction, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.
Yoshikami acknowledged that a larger cut could reinforce fears that a «recessionary ball» is coming, but he insisted that such views were overblown, noting that both unemployment and interest rates remain low by historic levels and company earnings have been
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