Mexico Q2 growth weaker than initial estimate, slowdown foreseen
MEXICO CITY (Reuters) — Mexico's economy grew 0.8% in the second quarter from the previous three-month period, national statistics agency INEGI said on Tuesday, slightly below its preliminary estimate and prompting analysts to warn of a slowdown.
INEGI last month estimated that gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.9% in the April to June period. Analysts polled by Refinitiv expected the final figures would show the economy expanding by 1.0% over the quarter.
A breakdown of the GDP figures showed the important tertiary or services sector grew 0.7%, below the 1% initially estimated.
Primary activities such as farming, fishing and mining increased 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, undershooting the preliminary data by a tenth of a percentage point.
Secondary activities, which cover manufacturing, grew by 1.2%, beating the preliminary estimate of 0.8%, and pointing to buoyant construction demand.
Pantheon Macroeconomics said the quarter overall contributed to a «solid» first half of the year, with the first quarter having recorded a downwardly revised gain of 0.8%. Yet it warned that a drop in momentum was likely.
«Robust fundamentals, including a resilient labor market and falling inflation, are offsetting the drag from tighter financial conditions,» Andres Abadia, the chief Latin America economist at Pantheon, said in a note.
However, he added that «tighter financial conditions and the weakness of key sectors… are now a clear drag,» pointing also to the impact of «global conditions» and interest rates.
The Mexican central bank held interest rates steady again this month for a third time, with cuts not forecast by most analysts until later this year.
The Mexican economy grew 3.6% in the second quarter on an annual basis,
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