

Nominal GDP may get a boost from India-US trade deal: Secretary Thakur
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. New Delhi: India’s nominal GDP growth for FY27, pegged at 10% in the Union Budget, could turn out higher if the proposed India-US trade deal goes through, which is expected to boost domestic manufacturing, Department of Economic Affairs (DEA) secretary Anuradha Thakur said. Nominal gross domestic product (GDP) measures economic output at current market prices, without adjusting for inflation, and is crucial for tax revenues because taxes are collected on current prices and incomes, not inflation-adjusted values.
“Probably we can expect an uptick, post the trade deal with the US," Thakur said said in an interview. The trade agreement, she added, is expected to provide a meaningful push to manufacturing, which accounts for over 16% of India’s GDP, while also expanding economic activity across sectors. India's nominal GDP is expected to grow at 8% in the current fiscal year ending 31 March, as per the first advanced estimate released last month, compared to the FY26 budget estimate of 10%.
Describing the India-US trade deal as a positive development, Thakur said it could help ease market uncertainty and revive investor confidence that has remained subdued in some segments. “The wait-and-watch stance adopted by certain segments would probably get lifted. So, cumulatively, the deal should add up to a positive uptick in various parts of the economy," she said.
According to her, improved sentiment could feed into investment decisions and trade flows, adding momentum to growth in the coming months. US president Donald Trump on Monday said that he and Prime Minister Narendra Modi have agreed to a trade deal between India and the US. Trump also claimed that Modi had agreed to stop India's
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