Northern Italy drought threatens olive oil, risotto rice and passata supplies

theguardian.com:

Supplies of olive oil, risotto rice and passata are under threat as northern Italy suffers its worst drought in 70 years, stirring up the cost of living crisis further.

Specialist importers are preparing for price rises of as much as 50% or more for rice and tomatoes and are considering looking for new sources of supply, after growers in the Po valley, the home of arborio rice used in risotto, warned of a “significant reduction” in crop yields this year.

Kyle Holland, an analyst at market research group Mintec, said some market sources suggest Italian production of olive oil could be between 20% and 30% down on last year.

He said there could be a “substantial dent in global supply” of the oil as hot and dry weather in Spain is expected to reduce crops there by up to 15%.

“We are already seeing some olive trees producing no fruit, which only happens when soil moisture levels are critically low,” Holland said. “According to industry contacts, the lower production and, therefore, limited supply of olive oil is likely to cause prices to increase in the coming months.”

Walter Zanre, the UK managing director of olive oil specialist Filippo Berio, told The Grocer trade journal: “Unless it rains very soon, the olive crop will be dramatically reduced.” He added that the drought was also likely to reduce crops of apricots, peaches and pears.

Prices of Italian extra virgin olive oil are already up 28% on two years ago, according to Mintec, as global supplies of cooking oils have been squeezed by the war in Ukraine, a major producer of sunflower seeds and oil, and by difficulties bringing in the palm oil harvest in south-east Asia.

Jason Bull, the chief executive of Eurostar Commodities which imports rice and tomatoes from Italy, said he