Kotak Securities on Monday said that crude oil prices witnessed over 7% upside last week, biggest since March, as Russia signaled that it would extend export curbs and bets that Saudi Arabia will extend in October its voluntary monthly production cut of one million barrels per day introduced in July. Ravindra Rao, head of commodity research at Kotak Securities said, “WTI Crude oil futures surged more than 7% during the previous week and closed at $85.55 per barrel, as signs of tightening physical markets and continued efforts by Chinese authorities lifted the sentiments." The price of India oil crude basket rose 7.54% in August, reaching $86.43 a barrel. Analysts believe that despite recessionary concerns, output cuts, stimulus measures in China, and hopes of improved winter demand may keep the prices elevated.
Positive macroeconomic data in the US and China also supported prices. In the US, job growth gained momentum last month although unemployment rate increased to 3.8%. In China, manufacturing activity expanded in August, according to data from Caixin's manufacturing PMI.
An improvement in economic activity in China gains significance as it the second largest importer of oil in the world. Last week, Chinese authorities announced measures to support the economy including deposit rate cuts and an easing of borrowing norms for home buyers. These measures are expected to boost the growth of Chinese economy.
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