Oil scores weekly gain as Middle East crisis offsets China demand concerns; Brent settles lower at $78/bbl

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Also Read: ‘Oil markets well supplied’, says IEA as it raises 2024 global demand forecast; projects lower than OPEC The premium of the first-month Brent contract to the six-month contract rose to as much as $2.15 a barrel on Friday, the highest since November. This structure, called backwardation, indicates a perception of tighter supply for prompt delivery. Back home, on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), crude oil futures due for a February 16 expiry, settled 0.28 per cent higher at ₹6,045 per bbl, having swung between ₹6,084 and ₹6,213 per bbl during the session, against a previous close of ₹6,106 per barrel.

-Analysts said that the Chinese equity market this week dropped to near a five-year low. The indication for weaker demand drove crude prices down on Friday. In the Middle East, geopolitical risks supported prices for the week.

-On Friday, tensions escalated in Gaza as Israeli forces pushed south against Hamas militants, while earlier in the week, the US launched new strikes against Houthi anti-ship missiles aimed at the Red Sea. -Although conflict in the Middle East has not shut any oil production, supply outages continued in Libya. In the US, about 30 per cent of oil output in North Dakota, the country's third largest producing state, remained shut due to extreme cold.

The output had been cut by some 700,000 bpd, or more than half, midweek. -The International Energy Agency (IEA) this week raised its 2024 global demand forecast, but its projection is half that of producer group Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The Paris-based agency also said that - barring significant disruptions to flows - the market looked reasonably well supplied in 2024.