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Oil shock looms: Middle East tensions put Indian markets on edge
₹22,615 crore in Indian equities after selling for three months in a row, showed NSDL data. Strengthening of the Indian rupee (improves returns in dollar terms) and reducing trade uncertainties with India-European Union deal and other trade agreements were the likely catalysts.But geopolitics could interrupt that revival.The latest new series gross domestic product (GDP) data for the December quarter (Q3FY26), using 2022-23 as the base year, showed growth at 7.8% despite tariff troubles.
FY26 GDP growth estimate was revised to 7.6% from 7.4%.However, foreign investors tend to focus more on earnings growth and relative valuations than headline GDP.To be sure, the quantum of earnings downgrades post Q3FY26 results has been lower, but upgrades were selective given the limited positive surprises amid pricey valuations. India trades at a premium one-year forward multiple of around 19x even though it is still underperforming peers after a dismal 2025.So far in 2026, the MSCI India Index is down 11.5% versus positive returns by MSCI Asia Ex-Japan and MSCI Emerging Market indices, showed Bloomberg data.Increased AI traction has raised concerns on deflationary pressures on IT companies, dragging the index down.
India (seen as reverse AI trade) valuation is not cheap like other Asian peers which are seen as AI trades, say, South Korea and Taiwan, said Shrikant Chouhan, head of equity research at Kotak Securities.Current geopolitical tensions will keep investors closely tracking crude prices and the level of retaliation from Iran. In the near term, markets are likely to move from earnings-driven to oil-driven trading, reckons JM Financial.“Upstream energy and defence may see relative support, while oil-sensitive sectors such as
. Read on livemint.comThe same topic in other media
Homebuying is more affordable. Why rising oil prices could spoil the party. livemint.com / 2 months ago
The week in charts: Crude oil shock, India’s EM rank, e-way bill generations livemint.com / 2 months ago
Mint Quick Edit | Will the IEA’s oil release of 400 million barrels relieve the world of its oil shock? livemint.com / 2 months ago
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21.05 / 10:17
UPS
Art
Booking
wellness
film
How chronic illness became a starting point for artistic alchemy for Koshy Brahmatmaj
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.Pain is invisible; the sufferer has to make noise for it to be acknowledged, treated or accepted. Mumbai-based artist Koshy Brahmatmaj, 34, lives with chronic endometriosis, a painful condition that afflicts millions of women around the world.
21.05 / 10:17
markets
UPS
IPO
NVIDIA
SpaceX
Even at $5 trillion, Nvidia is underappreciated
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.Nvidia is no longer the only AI chip game in town. But it is the largest by far, and the likelihood that it will be that way for the foreseeable future should count for something.It hasn’t counted for much lately.
21.05 / 10:17
markets
Digital
CEO
War
Omnicom
RK Swamy bets on integrated advertising model as global agency giants split media and creative
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.Homegrown advertising group RK Swamy Ltd is betting on its integrated marketing model to drive growth over the next few years, combining media, creative and other advertising services even as the ‘Big Four’ agency networks increasingly separate those businesses.“We never did disaggregated media and creative [although] that was an option 20 years ago,” Shekhar Swamy, MD and group CEO of RK Swamy Ltd told Mint in an interview.“How can you disaggregate the two? The media function holds a lot of data, and then when media and creative walk separately, it creates a lot of tension. This is not a sensible model for a client.”RK Swamy’s clients include Magicbricks, Polycab, and several government institutions and PSUs such as LIC.The company reported a 15% jump in annual revenue for FY26 to ₹351.73 crore, while profit before tax and exceptional items rose 30% year-on-year to ₹32.2 crore.
21.05 / 09:47
markets
IPO
Racing
NVIDIA
SpaceX
SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI’s sprint to go public defines the AI boom’s big day
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.It all happened in one day.Three of the hottest startups in history moved closer Wednesday to becoming trillion-dollar companies. With a fresh filing, SpaceX showed the path to a landmark IPO likely to mint Elon Musk as the world’s first trillionaire.
21.05 / 09:47
markets
Analysis
Sustainability
trends
Trade
FPIs exit Korea & Taiwan: Is India ready for the flow rotation?
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.Foreign investors have spent much of this year cutting exposure to Indian equities, diverting some capital to Taiwan and South Korea amid an AI-driven rally and robust semiconductor earnings. However, recent selling in those East Asian markets has brought the conversation surrounding foreign flows back to India.According to Bloomberg data, Foreign portfolio investors have pulled nearly $23.4 billion from Indian equitiesso far this year, driven by stretched valuations, rupee weakness and softer earnings growth expectations.
21.05 / 09:47
markets
Research
trends
Trade
cover
PI Industries’ weak core business keeps investors on edge
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.PI Industries stock has fallen 11% over the past two trading sessions as pressure in its custom synthesis and manufacturing (CSM) business persisted. CSM revenues have now declined year-on-year for five consecutive quarters. The segment, which contributed about 75% of the agrochemicals maker’s FY26 revenue of ₹6,714 crore, saw revenue fall 16% year-on-year.Weak demand and customers’ shift to just-in-time procurement continued to weigh on the CSM business, where revenue declined 15% in the March quarter (Q4FY26), though that marked an improvement from the 32% drop in Q3FY26.Management said the global crop-protection market remains stuck in a prolonged multi-year downturn, resulting in an uneven recovery.
21.05 / 09:47
markets
Research
love
audience
consequences
‘Should I Marry a Murderer?’ has left audiences stunned but what they saw wasn’t all that bizarre
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.In the new Netflix documentary series Should I Marry a Murderer?, Caroline Muirhead, a Scottish forensic pathologist, falls in love with Sandy McKellar, a man who, after proposing, reveals to her that he and his brother have committed a homicide. What follows is baffling: Even after Muirhead turns him in to the police, she returns to his side.
21.05 / 08:45
Provident
Aware
security
Bill
students
Secured credit cards: Unlocking credit and building a credit score for millions
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.There has been growing awareness about credit cards in India, but the number of users still remains low, with 118.6 million credit cards issued as of end-March, a penetration of only 8.5%. This is because of strict credit appraisal processes that leave a large segment of the population underserved.In such a scenario, customers can opt for a secured or fixed deposit (FD)-backed credit card instead of the ubiquitous unsecured card.
21.05 / 08:45
Provident
Diversity
information
reports
gatherings
Forensic audits support corporate-fraud probes and IBC cases but still lack enforceable standards
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.Forensic audits have gained significance in today’s world of business as they serve as a useful tool for commercial lenders to investigate fraud by borrowers and/or identify other deep-seated financial irregularities. Forensic auditors are also employed by resolution professionals to report on preferential, undervalued, fraudulent and extortionate (‘PUFE’) transactions for adjudication under India’s Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). While there is no single universal definition, several globally recognized organizations have provided widely accepted definitions (and norms) of forensic auditing.
21.05 / 08:45
UPS
Manufacturing
Mobile
Healthcare
electronic
Why Dixon, Syrma and Kaynes are moving beyond smartphones: margin pressure
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.MUMBAI: India’s listed electronics manufacturers are under pressure to defend profitability as the mobile-phone assembly boom slows, prompting a shift towards higher-value industrial electronics.Investors remained jittery through the last fiscal, driven by concerns that slowing consumer sentiment could weigh on the rapid growth that electronics manufacturing services (EMS) firms have delivered so far.In an interview with Mint, Jasbir Singh Gujral, managing director of Syrma SGS Technology Ltd, India’s second-largest listed EMS firm, said, “We’re increasingly looking to capture a larger chunk of contracts from defence, aerospace and med-tech verticals, all of which represent opportunities for original design manufacturing, and also bring significantly higher margins. We’ve already started this transition, and we plan to do more of it this fiscal.”Beyond mobile phones and laptops, EMS firms are expanding into smart metres for electricity boards, aerospace and defence subsystems, railway safety instrumentation, printed circuit boards and display assemblies, and medical devices deployed in hospitals.India’s annual mobile phone shipments have remained subdued since the covid-19 pandemic, with industry estimates pointing to a single-digit decline this calendar year from 152 million smartphones shipped last year.The margin pressure driving this shift is increasingly visible.In FY26, Syrma SGS reported an operating margin of 7.1%, up 2.3 percentage points.
