Tata Motors' $4.4 billion Iveco move faces fresh concerns
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. NEW DELHI : Italian automaker Iveco's two reductions in its cash flow outlook within six months have reignited concerns over Tata Motors Ltd’s biggest acquisition, as analysts caution the Italian business's volatile show may leave the Indian parent vulnerable to global headwinds.
The Turin-based company cut its full-year 2025 guidance for its commercial vehicle and defence business by 82% in January to €60 million from €350-400 million, after an earlier 13% cut in July 2025 from €400-450 million, citing production delays and higher costs in the bus segment and weak performance in previous quarters. Interestingly, both cuts to the cash-generation forecast follow Tata Motors' announcement on 30 July of a $4.4 billion deal to buy the truck, bus, and powertrain business of Iveco.
The Mumbai-based automaker takes over the operations in the June quarter 2026-27. However, for now, investors appear to be buying into the Iveco opportunity and the company’s overall performance, as a majority of analysts still see the business delivering long-term value.
Since listing separately on the exchanges in November, the company’s shares have surged by 41%, compared with a 1% gain in the Nifty Auto, suggesting investors are pricing in a bullish case for the company. Analysts at Motilal Oswal Financial Services on 30 January flagged a lack of visibility in Iveco’s financials due to uncertainty in the markets it operates in, such as Europe and Latin America.
“Its (Tata Motors) recent acquisition of Iveco would expose it to the ongoing global macro uncertainties, thereby driving a potential de-rating if the demand environment does not improve anytime soon," analysts wrote in the note. “Given the lack of
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