The week in charts: IMF growth forecast, inflation climbs, TCS payout, RBI penalties
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.From India falling to the sixth rank in the IMF’s GDP rankings to retail inflation rising at a quicker pace in March amid the West Asia war, the moderation in shareholder payouts by TCS to parent Tata Sons, and commercial banks facing fewer penalties from the RBI, indicating improved compliance, here’s a compilation of this week’s news in numbers.India has slipped to the sixth rank globally in gross domestic product (GDP) rankings for 2025 (FY26) and 2026 (FY27), falling behind the UK after holding the fifth spot for three consecutive years, according to the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest data.The pullback follows a downward revision in the country’s nominal GDP after the base year was updated from 2011-12 to 2022-23, which corrected previous overestimations, Mint reported. Additionally, a sharp depreciation in the rupee has weakened India’s standing in dollar terms.
At current prices, India’s GDP is pegged at $3.92 trillion in FY26 and $4.15 trillion in FY27. India was expected to overtake Japan this year, as per the IMF’s October 2025 update.
However, all is not lost. India is expected to reclaim its momentum and jump to the fourth rank by 2027 (FY28).The impact of the West Asia conflict is beginning to reflect in India’s inflation data.
Retail inflation edged up to 3.4% in March, driven by rising prices in sectors exposed to the disruption. The number, however, remains below the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) 4% medium-term target.
Airfare inflation surged to 14.2%, reversing from a contraction of 7% in February.On the other hand, LPG and piped gas inflation rose to 5.3% from 1.6% in February. Prices of coal, firewood and kerosene also increased, likely due to substitution
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