These 3 metrics suggest the Bitcoin price crash is not over
Bitcoin (BTC) near $20,000 is worrying the market, but after narrowly avoiding breaking support, is the worst really over?
According to multiple on-chain indicators, it seems that max pain has yet to arrive this cycle.
The stakes are high for many hodlers this week — almost 50% of the supply is being held at a loss and miners are upping their shipments of BTC to exchanges.
Even some of Bitcoin’s biggest investors, notably MicroStrategy, are having to defend their conviction on BTC as price action tumbles.
With targets ranging as low as $11,000, Cointelegraph takes a look at how much further the market technically needs to drop to match historical bottom zones.
Despite the drop to eighteen-month lows, Bitcoin price action has not yet shaken out all its speculators. According to the RHODL Ratio from Philip Swift, creator of on-chain analytics resource LookIntoBitcoin, more capitulation should be on the way.
This is because historically, the ratio between short-term and long-term hodlers has been more in favor of the latter at macro price bottoms.
RHODL specifically takes the ratio between the 1-week and the 1-2 year cohorts of the Realized Cap HODL Waves metric, which divides coins by when they last moved (weighted by realized price).
Essentially, once RHODL’s green zone is it, it suggests that capitulation is at its peak and that a price floor is imminent or already being set. So far, RHODL has yet to enter its green zone, data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows.
It may feel like the entire Bitcoin market is at a loss, but above $20,000, many are still holding onto what are likely meager gains, hoping for a rebound.
Fellow on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant reveals that as of June 16, just 46% of the total BTC supply
Read more on cointelegraph.com
