Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.
Polkadot [DOT] continued to trade within an incessant downtrend that stretched back all the way to November. There was some respite in February and March 2022, but the buying pressure was smothered as the market turned fearful in April. At the time of writing, Bitcoin [BTC] was in the midst of a move upward. It surged straight past the $20.7k resistance, with the next level of importance sitting at $23k.
Source: DOT/USDT on TradingView
Polkadot has been on a downtrend since early April, following a rejection from the $23 mark. The price has set a series of lower highs since then, characteristic of a downtrend. This downtrend remained unbroken.
Using the swing high and swing low at $11.87 and $6.36 respectively, Fibonacci retracement levels were plotted (yellow). Generally, the 38.2% retracement level poses stiff resistance. If this level can be flipped to support after a move down, the asset can be expected to climb toward the 61.8% level, which would be the next strong resistance level.
For Polkadot, things were a little bit more complicated. The coin has already been rejected twice from the 38.6% retracement level at $8.46. The price was trading between $6.4 and $8.4 over the past month and indicated a range formation. The mid-point of this range lay at $7.45, which was also a long-term horizontal level of significance. Moreover, the 23.6% retracement level was quite close at $7.66.
Source: DOT/USDT on TradingView
Based on the price action, we can see that the $7.5 and $8.4 areas would offer high resistance to a move upward. To add credence to this idea, the indicators also had a bearish bias.
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