Donald Trump threatens to abandon the continent’s existing security arrangements – which it spent the best part of a century leading – and Vladimir Putin presses his advantage in Ukraine ceasefire talks where Europeans have no seat.
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All the while, cyberattacks and threats to critical infrastructure mount from Italy to Iceland.
One might rephrase this choice as: to ramp up military spending or let the union vanish into irrelevance.
Like Hamlet, Europe has preferred tragic inaction and poetic soliloquy to acting in its own security interest. As summits multiply in the search for a response to what looks like Trump’s own Russia reset, there’s little point in clinging to the illusion that the protector-protectorate dynamic is sustainable despite having been profitable. It’s fueled a mentality of “forever peace” across swathes of an aging continent where social outlays come first. It has also created moral hazard, given Poland spends more than 3% of its gross domestic product on defense and Ireland 0.2%.
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