Market expert Ajay Bagga says the worst seems to be definitely over for the IT sector but the recovery will be slow. As we saw from the order books and the commentary of sluggish order flows coming through, margins are not that great and expectation is that it could take two to three quarters for things to normalise. What will be critical is how soon can they get onto the bandwagon of things like generative AI and machine learning. Those are the value additions that the market is looking to reward. But the worst is definitely over.”
What is the market telling you because the midcap rally continues unabated and some very sharp earnings reactions, be it on the positive side by the IT big boys or on the negative by an HDFC Bank or for that matter, even IndusInd and Unilever?
Ajay Bagga: Yes, quite surprising moves, actually, if you see and most of the impact has been due to the FII moves. Rs 23,000 crore worth shares being sold in these first few days, which was a surprise. We were not expecting a selloff by the FIIs and especially not of this magnitude. Maybe it is related to some of the Chinese money or the foreign money invested in China getting withdrawn and we being a collateral damage within GEM funds. Maybe some part of it was that. But I do not think fundamentally the earnings were that bad for the banks or were that good for the IT companies to see such sharp reactions.
Saturday was a boring day overall and I cannot really complain. I think today could have been
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