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US economy. The outlook is bumpier than anticipated, with lower growth rates, greater inflationary pressures, and more complicated international economic and financial interactions.

Donald Trump's approval rating has reached 47%, equaling his best-ever mark as president, according to the latest NBC News poll. However, a 51% majority still disapproves of his performance. Three months after he returned to the Oval Office, Trump hit the highest approval rating he's ever had as commander-in chief. More Americans say the country is on the right track than at any point since 2004, according to a new poll. That’s the good news, according to an NBC News Poll released Sunday. ALSO READ: 'Hell will rain down': Trump launches large-scale strikes on Yemen's Houthis, issues blistering war threat

reciprocal tariffs, which should be negated through higher export goals across both manufacturing and services fronts, SBI Research said Monday. This, it said, will be driven by India’s diversified exports kitty, value addition, alternate areas and new routes that transcend from Europe to the US via the Middle-East, redrawing new supply chain algorithms. “We estimated the decline in exports in the range of 3-3.5% which again should be negated through higher export goals across both manufacturing and services fronts,” SBI Research said, adding that India stands to gain in an increasingly uncertain world of tariffs. India has a $13 million trade deficit for aluminium and $406 million for steel with the US and can potentially take advantage of this. India is among the top 10 sources for aluminium for the US but its share has declined to 2.8% in 2024 from 3% in 2018. India is negotiating free trade agreement (FTA) with the UK, Canada, and the EU, targeting sectors like services, digital trade, and sustainable development. “The shift towards regional supply chains and the impact of geopolitical changes, such as the US tariff war are influencing India’s FTA strategies to ensure alignment with global trade dynamics,” it said.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. THE BALL, so America’s secretary of state said on March 11th, is back in Vladimir Putin’s court. Ukraine had just agreed at talks in Jeddah to an American plan for a month-long ceasefire, and in return America has already restarted the flow of weapons and information that Donald Trump cut off following his spectacular Oval Office clash with Volodymyr Zelensky 11 days earlier.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Women’s History Month began as a way to honour women’s contributions throughout time. It was meant to commemorate their ‘firsts’ and perhaps more importantly, to inspire future generations of ladies to achieve greatness.

Kripa Upadhyay, a Seattle-based immigration attorney, told TOI's Lubna Kably, “As heartless as this may seem, foreign nationals (especially those needing renewal of H-1B or F-1 visa stamps) really need to think twice about leaving the US right now.” The US Department of State recently changed eligibility requirements for interview waiver or «dropbox» appointments. Earlier, anyone who had been issued a non-immigrant visa (except B visitor visas) could apply for a waiver if their visa expired within 48 months. Now, dropbox is limited only to applicants renewing the same category of visa that expired within the last 12 months.

NASA astronauts Butch Wilmore and Sunita Williams are preparing for their return to Earth after spending over nine months aboard the International Space Station (ISS). The duo are set to return to Earth on Tuesday evening a day earlier than the previously reported schedule, NASA said citing «favourable conditions». Butch Wilmore and Sunita Williams are to be transported home with another American astronaut and a Russian cosmonaut aboard a SpaceX Crew Dragon craft, which arrived at the ISS early Sunday. Williams and Wilmore have been stuck in the space since June after the Boeing Starliner spacecraft they were testing on its maiden crewed votage suffered propulsion issues and was deemed unfit to fly them back to Earth. ALSO READ: 'The hardest thing has been...': NASA's Sunita Williams reveals what she’ll miss about space after returning to Earth «Nasa and SpaceX met on Sunday to assess weather and splashdown conditions off Florida’s coast for the return of the agency’s Crew-9 mission from the International Space Station. Mission managers are targeting an earlier Crew-9 return opportunity based on favorable conditions forecasted for the evening of Tuesday, March 18,» said the space agency in an official statement.

Donald Trump's family have held discussions to acquire a financial stake in the US arm of cryptocurrency exchange Binance, while the company's founder seeks a presidential pardon, according to a Wall Street Journal report on Thursday. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, who served four months in prison after pleading guilty to violating anti-money-laundering requirements, has been pushing for clemency from the Trump administration.

But while Beijing braces for impact, India’s strategy is more of wait and watch. Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently showered warm words for Trump. Speaking on a podcast with Lex Fridman, Modi described Trump as «far more prepared» for his second term, crediting him with a clear roadmap and strategic steps to achieve his goals. However, Modi's praise comes amid looming reciprocal tariff threats and the fact that Trump has time and again called out India to be among the nations that charge the US the highest tariffs. While Trump has praised Modi often, he has called India a tariff abuser. In the February meeting, Trump and Modi discussed trade issues and the nations are working on a trade deal. Trump, nonetheless, wants actions from India that should be beneficial for his land, including India buying more oil from the US. Trump's close ally Elon Musk meanwhile also seems to be getting some advantage in India these days. While Tesla is about to enter India, telecom operators Reliance Jio and Bharti Airtel also signed deals with Starlink.

Ola Electric have suffered a significant loss of value. Meanwhile, IT stocks continue to be laggards due to the uncertainty triggered by factors in the US. Mobikwik Shares of One MobiKwik Systems, the parent company of digital payments provider MobiKwik, sank as much as 15% in early trade on Monday, hitting a fresh 52-week low of Rs 231.05. This is due to the expiration of a three-month lock-in period on nearly 46 lakh shares, or 6% of the company's outstanding stock, making them eligible for trade.

Bitcoin recently hit a low of $76,600, raising concerns across the crypto community about its future trajectory. This decline briefly pushed the asset below its 200-day moving average, marking a significant shift from its record-breaking rally to an all-time high of $109,200. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has corrected by more than 25%, bringing its total market capitalization down to $1.53 trillion. While short-term factors such as stronger-than-expected CPI data, increased job availability in the US, and other macroeconomic developments have led to temporary relief rallies, Bitcoin has yet to regain its bullish momentum.

Rajnath Singh and the US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard met and held bilateral talks in the national capital on Monday. On Saturday, National Security Advisor Ajit Doval held a meeting with Gabbard, and according to sources, they discussed several facets of the India-US relationship in detail. Gabbard is visiting India as a part of her multi-nation visit. The Asia leg of Gabbard's trip will culminate in an address on March 18 at the Raisina Dialogue, a multinational gathering of security officials in Delhi, to which Prime Minister Narendra Modi invited her. The US intel chief Gabbard will hold bilateral meetings with Indian officials and officials from other countries, The New York Times reported, citing a Trump administration official. Her visit to India follows Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to the US in February this year.

The committee, led by Defence Secretary Rajesh Kumar Singh and comprising IAF Vice Chief Air Marshal S P Dharkar, Secretary (Defence Production) Sanjeev Kumar, and senior officials from DRDO and the Aeronautical Development Agency (ADA), is expected to submit its report next month. This move comes as Pakistan aims to acquire at least 40 J-35A fifth-generation stealth jets from China, which is already showcasing prototypes of its sixth-generation aircraft. Meanwhile, China has stationed its fifth-generation Chengdu J-20 jets at airfields along the Indian border, such as Hotan and Shigatse. Given this, alongside delays in the production of the fourth-generation Tejas jets by Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL), a source told TOI that the committee's primary goal is to «devise how best to get AMCA from the drawing board into the air by shrinking timelines and improving efficiency, including a good workable production-cum-business model with much greater private sector participation.»

The IT sector witnessed a sharp decline, shedding over 2,000 points in just one week, as fears of a U.S. recession rattled investor confidence and stocks may remain volatile until macroeconomic conditions stabilize, Om Ghawalkar, Market Analyst at Share.Marketsaid, recommending risk-averse investors to consider reducing exposure. This analyst spells-out strategy in previous week’s major movers viz. IndusInd Bank, SPARC, Data Patterns and 3 more stocks. Excerpts: Nifty closed with weekly declines of 0.7%, trading in a close range last week but this week has started on a positive note. What is the chart suggesting about the course of its move and levels that will be important to watch out for? Despite U.S. tariff hikes and a downturn in global markets, Nifty demonstrated remarkable stability, declining only 0.7% this week. The index traded within a tight range of 22,316 to 22,676, maintaining levels close to its pre-election positioning.

Ranjani Srinivasan, an Indian student at Columbia University who opted to «self-deport» after her visa was revoked, has described the terrifying moment when federal immigration agents first knocked on the door of her varsity apartment. The immigration agents were searching for Srinivasan, 37, who had recently learned her student visa had been revoked. Srinivasan, an international PhD student from India, did not open the door when the three immigration agents knocked at it, the New York Times reported. She was not home when the agents showed up again the next night. She packed a few belongings, left her cat behind with a friend and jumped on a flight to Canada at LaGuardia Airport, the report added. When the agents returned a third time, this past Thursday night, and entered her apartment with a judicial warrant, she was gone.

US housing market is on the brink of collapse as Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) pulls the plug on affordable housing projects nationwide, according to a new report. A report from Mitrade.com reveals that monthly housing costs in the US soared to a record $3,104 in January. «Mortgage payments alone have nearly doubled in the past five years, now averaging $2,237 per month, plus $416 for property taxes and $361 for insurance. At the same time, home prices surged by $31,300 to a median of $446,300—the second-highest in history,» the report stated.

Cameron Brandt, Director of Research, EPFR Global, says it is now the turn of US equity funds to see something of a reversion to the mean. The free pass they got in the immediate aftermath of Donald Trump's election, if not revoked, is certainly being scrutinised. The past 10 days have not been terrible for emerging markets. There has been a pickup of flows into dedicated Europe and Japan equity funds. In India, valuations are starting to get to levels where people will be comfortable again and maybe even see an upside. The last time we spoke, there was only bad news for emerging markets like India. When do you think there will be only good news for emerging markets like India? Cameron Brandt: It is certainly not quite as gloomy for emerging markets as when we last talked. But the emerging markets that are doing best at the moment are the ones perceived as being geared to Europe. We have had a fairly bumpy period, but it is Europe that has been catching the attention and flows. That said, the reallocation away from emerging markets definitely seems to be slowing. It has not stopped, but there are certainly points of life in the general universe and it is now the turn of US equity funds to see something of a reversion to the mean.

«With GDP growth projections above 6 per cent annually, India's energy demand will continue to soar, and the country will remain heavily reliant on fossil fuels, including oil, to meet its needs,» said the report. As per the International Energy Agency (IEA) India's oil demand is projected to rise by 1.3 million barrels per day (mbpd) by 2030. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) estimates an even higher increase of 1.8 mbpd, bringing India's total oil consumption to 7.1 mbpd, up from 5.3 mbpd in 2023.

«Nifty 50 is broadly going to traverse something like 10% to 12% EPS growth. So, from here, 22,000 to expect 24,500 to 25,000 between December 25 and March 26 is certainly not out of place. So, from that point of view, a 10% to 12% Nifty gain is purely doable,» says Manish Sonthalia, Emkay Investment Managers. So, tell us a sum and summary. With so much of analysis you have done, tell us three stocks to buy. We will keep it very simple. You give me three stocks, one question and then I will let you go to a meeting. Manish Sonthalia: So, stock recommendations not doable because of regulations but look we have priced in most of the negative, that is one and whatever micro details you need to know about India is already known in public domain. There is nothing new to analyse just yet as things stand. We do not know all the information regarding tariffs, etc.