Nilesh Shah News

investors, and capital typically recedes from emerging markets as investors scramble for safety.First Global founder Devina Mehra noted that private credit concerns have emerged amid a broader global environment already tilting risk-off. The current stress underscores the inherent risks of investing in illiquid instruments, where exits can become challenging during periods of uncertainty, she said.Since the US-Iran conflict erupted, the benchmark Nifty 50 is down more than 6%.

assassination of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, which has raised hopes of a speedy end to the conflict, regime change in Teheran, peace in the region and the stability that markets crave. Iran's state media confirmed that Khamenei died on the first day of military assault by the US and Israel."Markets could actually rally on hopes of stability in the region in the days ahead after the confirmed death of the supreme leader," said Nirmal Jain, founder of IIFL Group.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Foreign outflows from India will reverse only when potential gains for India from its trade pact with the US become clear, according to money managers, even as the joint statement is likely to lift market sentiment. For now, markets will get a boost from short-covering by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) on derivatives and some cash buying seen so far this month, they said.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. The share of direct retail participation in India’s largest stock exchange's cash turnover has fallen to its lowest in a decade, dragged down by risk aversion amid underperforming equity benchmarks, the rise of mutual funds and reallocation towards initial public offerings.

US operation in the South American nation should drive crude oil lower over time which should be positive for India, said Ashish Gupta, chief investment officer of Axis Mutual Fund. He added that he did not expect a knee-jerk reaction from markets at opening on Monday.“In the past two to three years, markets have not reacted significantly to geopolitical events whether in Europe or West Asia and I don't expect one after the Venezuela takeover either.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Mumbai: Stock market indices have pulled back from the lows of early March, but veterans on the Street do not believe the market has bottomed out yet. The reason: Persistent selling by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), who have dumped Indian shares for six straight months through March.

On Tuesday, Gold prices surged to an all-time high, breaking the key $3,000 level internationally, while reaching a new peak of Rs 88,513/10 g on MCX.

trade for investors while China is a tactical trade. However, to maintain this investor confidence and accelerate its economic trajectory, it may be argued that India needs to undertake key reforms rather than rely on external factors.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. The change of guard in America looms large over India's stock market, with foreign portfolio investors (FPI) raising bearish bets close to record levels a day ahead of Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th President.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. MUMBAI : The recent equities sell-off, led by aggressive offloading by foreign portfolio investors (FPI), has eroded investor wealth worth nearly ₹60 trillion in the past three and a half months. Market veterans expect the pain to last so long as the FPI selling continues amid an uncertain macro environment.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. While the winners among asset classes keep rotating every year, the absence of any such pattern over the past 10 years (see chart) reinforces the importance of asset allocation in building a balanced portfolio. Here’s a quick look at the performance of different asset classes in 2024.

Nilesh Shah, managing director and CEO of Kotak Mutual Fund, shared his views on the complexities surrounding food inflation and its role in economic policy during a recent event. Shah, also a part-time member of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister, questioned the way food inflation is being calculated and included in policymaking. Shah raised concerns about whether the free food distributed to over 80 crore Indians under the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PMGKAY) is accounted for when measuring food inflation. The program, which provides free or subsidised food grains to a vast segment of the population, could impact the headline food inflation number, Shah suggested. «My only submission will be are we measuring food inflation correctly? For example, 80 crore Indians are provided free food. That cost is more than our fiscal deficit. Is the credit taken in food inflation?» said Shah while speaking at a Kotak MF event.

The stock markets have been volatile, with benchmark indices down as much as 10% from their recent highs. The correction comes amid a record selloff by foreign investors, downgrades to corporate earnings, and slower economic growth.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Higher government spending, and wedding and festival season uptick in sales could enable Nifty to notch the Street estimated earnings of ₹1,059 per share in the current fiscal. The real worry is the FY26 Nifty 50 EPS estimate of ~ ₹1,200-1,250, an 18% growth over that in FY24, which looks tough, given an estimated 5% earnings growth in the current fiscal, believes Nilesh Shah, managing director (MD) of Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Co.

Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Stock market experts have cautioned investors that past performance is not a crystal ball for future gains. Given the Nifty 50 index’s hefty 26% return over the past year, investors may need to scale back their return expectations for equities.

Uday Kotak’s group is planning to launch its first private credit fund this year, joining industry peers rushing to tap the booming market for direct lending. The fund would aim to raise about 10 billion rupees ($119 million) depending on investor demand, said Nilesh Shah, chief executive officer of Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company, which manages 4.8 trillion rupees in assets. While private credit as an asset class has expanded globally, India has become a hotbed for the strategy, where institutions and funds make loans directly to companies, as investors hunt for higher returns.

Can India achieve the government's target of achieving $10 trillion GDP by 2030? Given that we are yet to hit $4 trillion, only $8 trillion is plausible by 2030, says Nilesh Shah, MD, Kotak AMC, in a post-Budget interaction with Mint. He believes finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman achieved the trinity of impossible of fiscal consolidation, investment and job creation. It should lead to the country's credit upgrade, he says. Shah adds that hiking the security transaction tax (STT) on futures and options (F&Os) is a step in the right direction. Edited excerpts:

MUMBAI : With the Union Budget expected in the second half of July, mutual fund executives are hoping for measures in four key areas that can boost their sector and invigorate the economy. From 1 April 2023, debt mutual funds have not got the benefit of indexation on long-term capital gains. Such gains are taxed at the slab rate of the investor.

GDP ratio is at an all-time high level, valuations are not at an all-time high, Dalal Street’s veteran stock picker Nilesh Shah said at AIF & PMS Conclave 2.0 on Wednesday. “Valuations are not at all-time high. They are still reasonably valued or one can say they are little expensively valued but critics will agree that it is not very expensive and optimists will agree that it is not very cheap. We are in the middle,” Shah said at the virtual conclave.

markets evolve, so do the strategies needed to navigate them successfully. The effective methods for staying ahead of market trends, drawing on insights from experienced investors and industry leaders are explored.

Kotak Mahindra AMC will launch its new fund offer (NFO) – Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 Index Fund – on May 22. The offer will remain open till May 3, 2024.