Nifty earnings growth estimate for FY26 looks tough: Kotak MF's Nilesh Shah
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Higher government spending, and wedding and festival season uptick in sales could enable Nifty to notch the Street estimated earnings of ₹1,059 per share in the current fiscal. The real worry is the FY26 Nifty 50 EPS estimate of ~ ₹1,200-1,250, an 18% growth over that in FY24, which looks tough, given an estimated 5% earnings growth in the current fiscal, believes Nilesh Shah, managing director (MD) of Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Co.
(AMC). He still feels, though, unlike in China, in India the earnings growth has compounded at a much higher clip in the past decade and that foreign investors will have room for both the economic giants in their portfolios. On Trump as president, he feels India should convince the US about replicating benefits of sourcing quality generic medicines from India at affordable cost across other industries, by partnering with us.
I recently met the CEO of a US firm. I want to share his prognosis on President Trump's victory. President Trump will carry the learnings of the first term in the second term.
Focus on the composition of the team to sense the direction of the government. Wait for the actual implementation of policies post-January 2025 rather than go by election rhetoric. Tariffs will be as much about economics as geopolitics.
India should lobby to create a win-win situation, such as how the US benefits from sourcing quality generic medicines from India at an affordable cost. We need to convince President Trump that partnering with India can be replicated across many other industries, and will benefit the US with lower costs and a reliable supply. The September quarter data did have some weak numbers on cement volume, auto sales, diesel consumption,
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