Amit Sachdeva on triggers that will make FIIs come back to India equities

economictimes.indiatimes.com:

Amit Sachdeva, India Equity Strategist, HSBC Securities, says “given the stable growth macro and where the world is today, India continues to be a very attractive destination for FIIs and that is not going to go away with one month of small short-term volatility or event. The larger game is set. If you look at the longer picture, what gives you confidence that India should do well? It is seen as a more structural market. But another factor that has worked in India's favour is that when you survive a crisis, the resilience is proven.”
What are the triggers that will make FIIs come back to India equities. This is one of the largest selling sprees that we have seen in recent history, consecutive 14 days of sell-off from FIIs. What would have to change on ground for them to come back and would it only be a function of the way the US yield pans out?
It is largely that factor, to be honest. If you look at FII flows and put that in the context of bull runs, we are about 0.6% of the market cap. In the last 12 months, every time you look at FII inflows, you have to look at accumulated flow of last 12 months because you may see some incessant flows in the last six months assuming that is the massive inflow that has already come, but it is true because the base is very benign. We are at about 0.6% of market cap which is way below the bull run averages at 1.7% and perhaps 3% of the bull run peak. So, in some sense, the base is extremely benign. We have seen large outflows last year, to be honest, minus 17 billion to be precise.

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