Asian Paints: Why is investor confidence peeling off despite robust margins?
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories. Asian Paints Ltd’s shares fell around 5% on Wednesday after the company announced its earnings for the December quarter (Q3FY26). Though profit margins were a bright spot, the company failed to sustain its 10.9% growth in domestic decorative paint volume from Q2, which came after five quarters of lucklustre growth.
Domestic decorative paint volume, Asian Paints’s backbone, grew 7.9% year-on-year In Q3, with value growth at 2.8%. A shorter festive period (just 15 days) and a prolonged monsoon in October played spoilsport. Consolidated revenue grew just 3.7% year-on-year to ₹8,867 crore.
Management said in the earnings call that volumes in November and December were significantly stronger than the quarterly average, suggesting an improving trend towards the end of Q3. Near-term volume growth is seen at 8-10%, aided by steady demand from both the consumer and industrial segments. That said, management highlighted changes in consumption patterns such as the growing number of destination weddings leading to postponement of home paintings in the wedding season, and less frequent painting in general as consumers shift to other discretionary spends.
These are likely leading to weak industry sales growth compared to the healthy double-digit growth of the past. Asian Paints’ volume-value gap of 4-5% is likely to persist because of an unfavourable product mix (higher growth is likely in putty, construction chemicals and waterproofing products). This could limit overall revenue growth to the mid-single-digits.
Gross margin and Ebitda margin both hit multi-quarter highs in Q3. Gross margin at 44.4% was aided by lower raw material costs and a larger share of premium products. Ebitda margin surpassed
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