Australia economy slows to a crawl, underscoring case for rate cuts
By Stella Qiu
SYDNEY (Reuters) -Australia's economy grew at a snail's pace in the December quarter as a punishing squeeze on household incomes brought consumer spending to a standstill, reinforcing market bets that the next move in interest rates will be down.
The slowdown confirmed high borrowing costs were working all too well to curb demand, prompting treasurer Jim Chalmers to declare that the balance of risks in the economy is shifting from inflation to growth.
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed real gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2% in the fourth quarter, under forecasts of 0.3%. That compared with a upwardly revised 0.3% expansion in the prior quarter.
Annual growth slowed to 1.5%, down from 2.1% the previous quarter and the lowest since early 2021, when the economy was emerging from a pandemic-driven recession.
In a telling sign of the softness in domestic demand, household spending did not add to economic growth at all in the fourth quarter, as a 0.7% rise in spending on essentials was offset by a 0.9% fall in discretionary spending.
ABS data showed households are spending more on electricity, rent, food and health while cutting back on hotels, cafes and restaurants as well as things like new vehicle purchases and clothing and footwear.
«Australian consumers are suffering from higher interest rates and cost of living pressures, while the rate of housing investment remains in the doldrums,» said Deloitte Access Economics partner Stephen Smith.
«There is simply not enough demand in the Australian economy to justify the RBA's claim about 'homegrown' inflation… Monetary and fiscal policy need to pivot away from containing inflation to stimulating economic growth.»
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