By 2030, world needs to cut emission by 43%: UN report
mitigation target are projected to be only 2% below those levels, shows a new UN synthesis report on countries' collective climate actions released on Tuesday. It highlights that peaking of global emissions will, however, occur within this decade.
The synthesis report, released ahead of the upcoming UN climate conference (CO) in Dubai, also shows that while emissions will not increase after 2030, compared to 2019 levels, they are still «not demonstrating rapid downward trend» — a necessity of this decade to limit warming below the 'danger' level.
Limiting temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius by the end of this century is considered safe to avoid the worst impacts of climate change, including more frequent and severe droughts, heat waves and rainfall.
The rise in earth's global average surface temperature, however, has already reached around 1.1 degrees C, higher than the pre-industrial average (1850-1900), and 2023 is already on track to be the warmest year on record.
Under the current level of mitigation actions, the peak temperature for 2100 is estimated in the range of 2.1-2.8 degree C.
«The world is failing to get a grip on the climate crisis. That is the message of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change's latest report which provides yet more evidence that the world remains massively off track to limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius and avoiding the worst of climate catastrophe,» said Antonio Guterres, UN secretary-general.
The synthesis report shows that if the latest available nationally determined contributions (NDCs) — climate actions — are implemented, current commitments will increase emissions by about 8.8%, compared to 2010 levels.
