Don’t expect CoP-28 to make real progress against climate change
how to take climate action while mitigating the potentially severe impacts of climate change. Alas, even as E increases, O is not only not keeping pace, but also terribly unreliable and subject to dramatic exaggeration (‘greenwashing’).
While ambitious NZ targets have been announced, the performance of E and O are faltering and several years behind schedule, rendering the concept of NZ in its current form undeliverable at the existing pace of change. To use a football metaphor, CoP-28 is likely to achieve a mid-field lateral pass of the ball that’s well short of goal.
The net zero concept will likely live on with only modest progress on emissions reduction and offsets, well short of what is required for the long-term pledges of Paris to be met. P.S: “The whole secret lies in confusing the enemy, so that he cannot fathom our real intent," said Sun Tzu in ‘The Art of War.’
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