In Charts: India slips to 6th in GDP ranking for now; to reach 4th by FY28
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.A downward revision in nominal gross domestic product (GDP) following the base-year revision and a sharp depreciation of the rupee have proved to be a setback for India's position in global ranking.The country has slipped to the sixth rank in 2025 (FY26) and 2026 (FY27), falling behind the UK after claiming the fifth position for three straight years, showed the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest data.At current prices, India’s GDP is estimated to be $3.92 trillion in 2025 (FY26) and $4.15 trillion in 2026 (FY27). The UK’s GDP is expected to be $4 trillion in 2025 and $4.26 trillion in 2026, respectively.
Japan will be far ahead with $4.43 trillion and $4.38 trillion, respectively.However, according to current projections, this could prove to be a temporary setback as India is expected to jump to the fourth rank by 2027 (FY28), leaving both the UK and Japan behind. This is expected to be achieved only by a small margin of $113 billion with the UK and $17 billion with Japan.
These projections may change if India’s GDP growth does not materialize as expected or the rupee keeps depreciating at a sharp rate.The setback follows the government's announcement that India had become the fourth-largest economy. To be sure, the IMF in its October 2025 update had a more optimistic projection for India, in which the country was seen overtaking Japan in FY27 and did not fall behind the UK in recent years.These projections have been revised downwards as India’s revamped GDP, which saw the base year updated from 2011-12 to 2022-23, led to a smaller economy due to a correction in overestimation.
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