India on track for lowest monsoon rains in 8 years: Sources
India is poised for its lowest monsoon rains in eight years, with the El Nino weather pattern seen crimping September precipitation after an August that is on track to be the driest in more than a century, two weather department officials told Reuters on Monday.
The monsoon, vital for India's $3 trillion economy, delivers nearly 70% of the rain the country needs to water crops and refill reservoirs and aquifers. Nearly half of the farmland in the world's most populous nation lacks irrigation.
The summer rainfall deficit could make essentials such as sugar, pulses, rice and vegetables more expensive and lift overall food inflation, which jumped in July to the highest since January 2020.
Lower production could also force India, the world's second biggest producer of rice, wheat, and sugar, to impose more curbs on exports of these commodities.
«El Nino dampened rainfall in August, and it will also have a negative impact on September rainfall,» said a senior official at the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
They declined to be identified since they were not authorised to brief the media.
India is on course to end the June-September monsoon season with a rainfall deficit of at least 8%, which would be the widest since 2015, when El Nino also curtailed precipitation, the official added.
The weather department did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Indian weather authorities are expected to announce their September forecast on Aug. 31.
IMPACT OF EL NINO
In its last full-season forecast, on May 26, the IMD had anticipated a rainfall deficit of 4% for the season, assuming limited impact from the El Nino weather pattern.
El Nino is a warming of Pacific waters that is typically accompanied by drier conditions over
