No green shoot of recovery in FMCG space; valuation a challenge in capital goods and manufacturing space: Rahul Singh
Rahul Singh, CIO-Equities, Tata Mutual Fund, says: “So far, we are not seeing any green shoots of recovery in the FMCG space. My own sense is that if the urban economy continues to outpace rural economy, because there are a lot of interlinkages in the way the economies work, sooner or later the rural economy will recover but not necessarily due to agricultural income or monsoons, but purely because of the amount of capex and construction activity which we are undergoing and which is likely to continue post elections.”
The main point which is in the mind of the market right now and that there will be either delayed cuts in the US or even Chetan Ahya of Morgan Stanley this morning has put out a note saying no rate cuts this year in India. So, the whole narrative around some rate cut in the second half of this year, seems to have been challenged and as a result, yields have rallied. What is your own hypothesis? Rahul Singh: There are two factors at work in the market. One obviously is the rate cut and whether that gets delayed and by how much and whether we have a rate cut this year or not – those discussions have started again and this is not the first time that there is a flip-flop in terms of the consensus view on the rate cuts, so I am not entirely surprised.
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