Smallcaps, midcaps are running too hot after April rally
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.MUMBAI: Caution is returning to small-, and mid-cap stocks after last month’s sharp rally, with experts warning that stretched valuations could leave the segment vulnerable to even minor macroeconomic and earnings shocksThe BSE Smallcap index rose nearly 20% in April, while the BSE Midcap index gained almost 14%, their strongest monthly performances since May 2014. In comparison, the Sensex rose 7%.But the rebound has been uneven.
Mid-caps have seen broader participation and stronger earnings support, while gains in small-caps have been concentrated in a narrower set of sectors and companies, raising concerns that parts of the segment may have run ahead of fundamentals.Analysts said the rally was driven largely by a recovery from oversold levels, supported by steady domestic liquidity, selective March-quarter earnings beats and easing geopolitical concerns after a fragile US–Iran truce. With valuations elevated again, they expect returns to become increasingly stock-specific.They attributed the relative underperformance of large-caps to persistent foreign portfolio investor (FPI) outflows, as global capital shifts towards artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductor themes in emerging markets such as South Korea and Taiwan.
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