Nitin Raheja, ED,Julius Baer Wealth Advisors, says “some of the defence stocks are getting valued based on order books. We forget that these kinds of businesses tend to be lumpy and from quarter to quarter, there could be big variances. Some of these valuations do not leave too much margin for error. In Railways stocks, again, we are seeing something similar taking place in terms of valuations. We will probably see some amount of lull in the next three, six months as we get into elections.” What is your take on the entire FMCG basket because for the bulk of last year, there was underperformance from this sector though in the last couple of months, there was a bit of an uptick. Is the worst over? Has the rural demand scheme bottomed out?
Nitin Raheja: Anecdotally, two-wheeler companies are talking about at least initial signs of revival. So, while we do not have full-fledged data to support the fact that there is a revival, clearly there are early signs of a revival in the rural economy. If that were to subsist and also as we generally get into the election zone, some amount of spending will be taking place in the rural economies, more to do with infrastructure.
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So, yes, you should see some signs of uptick happening there. Inflation in some commodities has been benign while food is a little bit of a sticky item. We should see some of the FMCG players show better results.
But separately,
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