Here’s the Bank of Canada’s official statement for its rate decision:
The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3.75 per cent, with the Bank Rate at 4 per cent and the deposit rate at 3.75 per cent. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.
The Bank continues to expect the global economy to expand at a rate of about 3 per cent over the next two years. Growth in the United States is now expected to be stronger than previously forecast while the outlook for China remains subdued. Growth in the euro area has been soft but should recover modestly next year. Inflation in advanced economies has declined in recent months, and is now around central bank targets. Global financial conditions have eased since July, in part because of market expectations of lower policy interest rates. Global oil prices are about $10 lower than assumed in the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR).
In Canada, the economy grew at around two per cent in the first half of the year and we expect growth of 1.75 per cent in the second half. Consumption has continued to grow but is declining on a per person basis. Exports have been boosted by the opening of the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline. The labour market remains soft—the unemployment rate was at 6.5 per cent in September. Population growth has continued to expand the labour force while hiring has been modest. This has particularly affected young people and newcomers to Canada. Wage growth remains elevated relative to productivity growth. Overall, the economy continues to be in excess supply.
GDP growth is forecast to strengthen gradually over the projection horizon, supported by lower interest rates. This forecast largely reflects the net effect of a
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