Global growth is forecast to moderate, partly due to the heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy, and key economies like China, Europe and Canada are expected to loosen monetary policy significantly.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is trimming interest rates and could wind down its quantitative tightening (QT) program which has shrunk its balance sheet by $2 trillion since mid-2022.
In short, the liquidity drain is likely to end.
But if tracking the level of liquidity coursing through financial markets and the global banking system is hard, accurately assessing its impact on asset prices is a near-impossible endeavor.
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