Gujarat, Rajasthan to see up to 50 pc more rain, big deficit likely in Himalayas due to climate change
climate change, according to a new analysis. The report comes at a time when countries are debating ways, at the UN climate conference in Azerbaijan, to raise trillions of dollars to help developing nations reduce greenhouse-gas emissions and adapt to climate change.
The southwest monsoon will see a shift from east to west, with the normally-drier western states experiencing higher precipitation, the analysis by the Azim Premji University said.
It said the southwest monsoon will bring more rain to the normally-drier western states. However, the eastern states, such as parts of the northeast, may experience reduced rainfall. This shift will further strain agricultural systems in these regions.
Gujarat and Rajasthan are projected to see significant increases in rainfall — up to 40 per cent in the moderate-emissions scenario and up to 50 per cent in the high-emissions scenario in the 2021-2024 period as compared to the 1960 levels. This could lead to more flooding, soil erosion and decreased agricultural productivity.
The Indian Himalayas, from Kashmir to Arunachal Pradesh, will face less rainfall during the northeast monsoon. Some places like north Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh could see up to 15 per cent less rainfall.
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