Amit Sachdeva, India Equity Strategist, HSBC Securities, says “there are two vulnerabilities for India; one is obviously a geopolitical crisis. If it spirals out of control, then it might weigh on India's investment case. But US bond yields have also risen quite sharply. That has seen some outflow as well. But if you look at the overall picture for India's Goldilocks scenario, I would hazard a guess that India is in a decisive bull run and we are in the middle of it right now.”
What is your take on the Israel-Palestine war? The way both local and global markets have been resilient, it looks like markets are saying this is not Russia and Ukraine. This is very localized and is unlikely to have a financial disruption.
Geopolitical situations are always interesting and also hard to predict. One thing can lead to another. I am not going to call that out, to be honest. But the market obviously has taken a view that the situation will be contained. It would not spiral out of control, et cetera. So at least the market has taken that view. My sense is that could probably be the fair view as well. But more importantly, India's context is very interesting because India has been an outperforming region three years in a row. That makes many people wonder whether these rallies can continue. But I think we need to drill down into the entire Goldilocks scenario of India.
My sense is that there are two vulnerabilities for India; one is obviously a geopolitical crisis. If it spirals out of control, then it might weigh on India's investment
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