Infosys and peers disappoint. Is FY27 IT revenue revival hope a pie-in-the-sky?
Subscribe to enjoy similar stories.After HCL Technologies, Infosys also let down the Street with weaker-than-anticipated FY27 revenue growth guidance, reinforcing concerns about a slowing IT cycle.The stock fell over 5% on Friday, sliding to a new 52-week low of ₹1,167.80. Revenue guidance from large IT firms tends to set the tone for investor expectations for the sector.Geo-political conflicts and AI-led deflation are likely dampeners to growth in FY27, reflected in Infosys’s underwhelming revenue guidance of 1.5%-3.5% CC (1.25–3.25% in organic CC).
CC is constant currency.The guidance factors in a 75-100 basis points (bps) impact from a planned ramp-down with a European client (Daimler) and a change in onsite mix. While it includes the impact of the Stratus acquisition, the Optimum Healthcare deal and Versent joint venture are excluded.Infosys’s guidance suggests AI is beginning to compress the existing book of business.“While part of this is attributable to competitive intensity and pricing in a low-demand environment, we expect the impact of deflation to continue as AI productivity benefits are passed on to clients,” said Motilal Oswal Financial Services in a report dated 23 April.Motilal expects Infosys to grow at the mid-point of FY27 guidance (about 2.5% organic), marking a deceleration versus FY26 CC revenue growth of 3.1%.Sequential CC revenue fell 1.3% in the March quarter (Q4FY26), against consensus estimates of a 0.6% drop, hurt by seasonality and delays in client decision-making, particularly in March.Segment-wise, weakness was led by manufacturing, financial services and retail.Infosys expects H1FY27 to be stronger than H2, factoring in normal seasonality, with BFSI and Europe likely to see an acceleration
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