Nate Silver has good news for Kamala Harris? Here's what he says about her key edge in his latest poll predictions
Nate Silver's latest election forecast indicates that national polls now favor Kamala Harris, with the vice president leading former President Donald Trump by three percentage points. The figures are 49.1 percent for Harris compared to Trump's 46.1 percent.
In his update, Silver mentioned, “A lot of polling since our last update, and the model mostly liked it for Harris — especially the national polls, which show her lead expanding to an even 3 points.” He added, “Forecast still in toss-up range, but we’re at a point where you’d probably rather have Harris’s hand to play."
Silver’s model suggests that Harris's path to victory would likely involve securing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Arizona is considered less critical, while North Carolina and Georgia could also play significant roles.
Despite his interest in elections, Silver states he generally avoids politics. On a podcast, he expressed support for Harris but added a condition that might sway his vote. “If Kamala Harris were to say I want to ban poker, I would feel targeted as a poker player, and clearly this is a community that wouldn't be interested in the votes of people like me, so why would I want to be in their coalition?” Silver remarked.
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